2025 St. Jude Championship picks, knowledgeable predictions, odds, area rating, golf bets for FedEx Cup Playoffs

The common season is formally within the rearview mirror because the PGA Tour’s FedEx Cup Playoffs take heart stage this week on the 2025 St. Jude Championship. Welcoming the highest 70 gamers from the common season — minus Rory McIlroy, who has chosen to skip the first week of play in Memphis, Tennessee — the St. Jude Championship would be the grounds on which gamers jostle to climb contained in the coveted high 50 to qualify for the second spherical of the postseason on the BMW Championship.

The highest 50 has taken on added significance lately. Those that play themselves inside that mark not solely get to proceed competing for the FedEx Cup, additionally they qualify for eight big-money signature occasions in 2026. With the power to personalize their schedules accordingly, rivals know simply how priceless it’s to complete inside the highest 50 of the season-long race by the point 72 holes wrap up in Memphis.

That will not be an issue for world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. The four-time main champion sits securely atop the FedEx Cup factors standings heading into the postseason; he is assured of a spot within the BMW Championship as nobody within the area can catch him even with the FedEx Cup factors distribution getting quadrupled (common season wins give out 500 FedEx Cup factors whereas postseason wins give out 2,000).

Others reminiscent of Russell Henley, Justin Thomas, Harris English and Sepp Straka discover themselves inside the highest 10 as nicely; they may actually be within the area as soon as the Tour Championship rolls round. With the change within the format at East Lake, eyes shift to the highest 50 bubble at Caves Valley and who could also be making the journey to Maryland subsequent week.

World No. 3 Xander Schauffele is in a state of flux as the previous Tour Championship winner sits at No. 42 within the FedEx Cup standings. Regardless of accumulating back-to-back top-10 finishes on the Scottish Open and The Open Champoinship, Schauffele is in want of at the very least a two-way tie for ninth to maintain future in his personal palms and safe his spot on the tee sheet in Baltimore.

In the meantime, Jordan Spieth has gone from No. 50 to No. 48 following the Wyndham Championship, giving himself a bit extra respiration room for TPC Southwind. If the three-time main winner finishes in solo third, there’s nothing anybody within the area can do to knock him exterior the magic quantity.

Wyndham Clark and Min Woo Lee spherical out the bubble boys, whereas Tony Finau (No. 60) and Rickie Fowler (No. 64) spotlight these on the surface trying in. Finau and Fowler might want to respectively end twenty second and nineteenth — or higher — to create a possibility at extending their seasons.

2025 St. Jude Championship schedule

Dates: Aug. 7-10
Location: TPC Southwind — Memphis, Tennessee
Par: 70 | Yardage: 7,288
Purse: $20,000,000

2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs bubble

51	J.T. Poston	850
52	Kurt Kitayama	842
53	Bud Cauley	831
54	Joe Highsmith	828
55	Aaron Rai	811
56	Jhonattan Vegas	783
57	Max Greyserman	768
58	Stephan Jaeger	726
59	Mackenzie Hughes	704
60	Tony Finau	690

2025 St. Jude Championship area, odds

Odds by way of FanDuel Sportsbook

Scottie Scheffler (3-1): It has formally been three years since Scheffler has missed a lower as he returns to the positioning of his most up-to-date early exit (2022). He has fared a lot better at TPC Southwind lately, together with final season when he completed solo 4th for his finest end result on the par 70. Scheffler is available in having not completed exterior the highest 10 since The Gamers Championship and inside the highest 25 in all 16 begins of his PGA Tour season.
Xander Schauffele (16-1): The ball placing is starting to reflect that of 2024 when Schauffele gained not one however two majors. The world No. 3 has been the mannequin of consistency since coming back from harm as he has eight top-25 finishes in his final 10 begins, together with back-to-back top-10 efforts. Regardless of steadily bettering, Schauffele has but to play himself into true weekend competition in a match this yr. This might be the spot for him to treatment that scenario as he completed runner as much as Hideki Matsuyama final yr because of a final-round 63.
Justin Thomas (22-1): He has not completed an entire lot at this venue since successful the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational again in 2020. The principle purpose has been the putter as Thomas has struggled on these surfaces, however he comes into this yr’s match amid the very best placing season of his profession and with new greens to play on given the latest renovation of the property. The motive force has been a sore topic in 2025, however Thomas has proven succesful on golf programs the place that membership shouldn’t be required persistently like this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick (24-1): Plenty of converging components this week for Fitzpartick. The Englishman has completed inside the highest 20 in 5 straight tournaments, 4 of which have doubled for high 10s together with final week’s Wyndham Championship. The whole lot of his recreation is buzzing in the best course, and Fitzpatrick has flashed brilliance at TPC Southwind with three top-six finishes throughout six appearances.
Tommy Fleetwood (25-1)
Aaron Rai (30-1)
Russell Henley (30-1)
Collin Morikawa (30-1): It’s a massive postseason for Morikawa. His Ryder Cup positioning has worsened (all the way down to No. 8 within the rankings) and his recreation has as nicely following two straight missed cuts on the Scottish Open and The Open. He may have a brand new bagman alongside because the Billy Foster expertise was fruitless abroad. The brand new perspective is required. Morikawa’s quick recreation has been up-and-down all yr, however now his ball placing is starting to indicate the identical sample. Fortunate for him, this golf course is true up his alley.
Hideki Matsuyama (32-1)
Ludvig Åberg (33-1)