The ultimate recreation of the 2024-25 NBA season takes place on Sunday with Recreation 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals between the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and Indiana Pacers. OKC is a 7.5-point favourite and the over/beneath is 215. This has been a curler coaster of a sequence, offering worthwhile alternatives on Overs and Unders relying on which aspect of NBA participant props you explored on betting sites. All of it culminates with a Recreation 7 at Oklahoma Metropolis’s Paycom Heart on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET. Our mannequin tasks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to showcase yet another time why he was the NBA MVP this 12 months and expects him to go Over in a number of NBA participant props. Nonetheless, the mannequin finds the perfect worth in enjoying SGA Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists within the Thunder vs. Pacers prop bets.
Gilgeous-Alexander had simply 21 factors, 4 rebounds and two assists in Recreation 6, which the Pacers managed from early on to drive a Recreation 7. SGA additionally performed a series-low 31 minutes, so he ought to be well-rested to play almost each minute of the winner-take-all Recreation 7. The mannequin tasks a major workload from SGA as a part of the explanation to play his Over when making Sunday Pacers vs. Thunder prop bets for online sports betting and same-game parlay picks. You’ll find Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 PRA in an NBA prop that may be performed using a FanDuel promo code for brand new customers. Additionally, try our Thunder vs. Pacers score prediction, Thunder vs. Pacers odds, and Thunder vs. Pacers SGP.
The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA recreation 10,000 instances and has returned nicely over $10,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. One of many Information Scientists behind the mannequin, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim outcomes and broke down the supporting proof to disclose which participant props have the perfect worth for at the moment’s slate. The NBA odds may change, so act now for max worth. You can find more analysis from Oh and other SportsLine data analysts on their Inside The Lines blog.
Greatest Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Recreation 7 NBA props (odds topic to vary):
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists (-112)
- Myles Turner Over 17.5 factors + rebounds (-108)
- TJ McConnell Over 4.5 assists (-105)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 43.5 complete factors + rebounds + assists (-112)
Two poor performances on the highway has Gilgeous-Alexander averaging nicely beneath this complete for the sequence, however for video games in Oklahoma Metropolis, SGA is averaging 34.3 factors, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for a forty five.3 PRA complete. And that is with out the extra minutes a Recreation 7 is certain to convey a participant like Gilgeous-Alexander. He averaged a forty five.1 PRA complete at residence this season over 33.7 minutes per recreation. He is performed no less than 40 minutes in three of six video games on this sequence, and you may anticipate 40 minutes to be his flooring in a very powerful recreation of the season. Gilgeous-Alexander had no less than 21 field-goal makes an attempt in all three residence video games this sequence, and the mannequin tasks SGA for a forty five.7 PRA complete on Sunday, and Oh likes SGA’s capability to contribute exterior of simply scoring to cowl this quantity.
“Recreation 7 effort and main minutes ought to ship his rebounding (5.9 common, 22-10 Over 4.5 when enjoying 38+ minutes),” Oh stated. “The easiest way the Thunder can counter each Haliburton and T.J. McConnell is for SGA to be tremendous aggressive offensively and we do anticipate the referees to offer MVP ‘free throw service provider’ SGA a pleasant whistle on this vital state of affairs.” FanDuel is the place to make this play, providing him at a 43.5 PRA complete whereas different sportsbooks have raised the quantity to 44.5. Play with a FanDuel promo code, and new customers can earn $200 in bonus bets in case your first $5 wager wins.
Myles Turner Over 17.5 factors + rebounds (-108)
Though Turner had simply three factors and 4 rebounds in Recreation 6, it wasn’t for an absence of alternatives. Turner had 9 field-goal makes an attempt over 26 minutes, however he was simply merely off. Nonetheless, Turner averaged 13 factors over the primary 5 video games of the sequence and is averaging 4.5 rebounds per contest within the NBA Finals because the mannequin does not anticipate one other dysmal capturing efficiency as in Recreation 6. He is had his three greatest scoring performances in Oklahoma Metropolis as nicely, scoring no less than 13 factors in all three video games and averaging 14.6 factors with 6.3 rebounds per recreation on the highway this sequence.
Turner’s averages have barely dipped within the postseason from the common season, going from 15.6 factors to 14.1 factors per recreation and 6.5 rebounds to 4.8 rebounds per recreation, however he is nonetheless averaging Over the 17.5 quantity for Recreation 7. He is averaging 29.8 minutes per recreation this postseason, and just like SGA, he’ll probably be pushed further minutes on this last recreation of the season. FanDuel can also be offereing the perfect odds on this play at -108, but when you have already got a FanDuel account and are on the lookout for a robust sign-up bonus, bet365 is providing this at -115 odds and the present bet365 bonus code provides new customers $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, whether or not it wins or loses
T.J. McConnell Over 4.5 assists (-105)
McConnell had six assists in a series-high 24 minutes in Recreation 6 because the Pacers had the ball in his fingers extra with Tyrese Haliburton restricted to 23 minutes on account of managing a calf damage. Haliburton’s calf shall be removed from 100% in Recreation 7 in addition to he is formally listed as questionable, so anticipate a bigger position from McConnell on Sunday once more. After scoring 12 factors on 6-of-12 capturing with 9 rebounds and 6 assists, the 33-year-old guard proved worthy of the extra enjoying time.
He’s averaging 4.5 assists per recreation this sequence regardless of enjoying fewer than 20 minutes in 4 of six contests. The mannequin tasks McConnell for 25 minutes on Sunday and he averaged 5.4 assists within the 26 regular-season video games the place he performed no less than 20 minutes. With Haliburton lower than full well being and McConnell efficient when given his alternatives this 12 months, the mannequin sees worth on this play because it tasks McConnell for five.1 assists on Sunday. DraftKings Sportsbook is providing the perfect odds at -105 and DraftKings promo code awards new customers $300 in bonus bets in case your first $5 wager wins.
Need extra NBA picks for Thunder vs. Pacers in Recreation 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals?
You’ve got seen a number of the mannequin’s high NBA props for Pacers vs. Thunder on Sunday in Recreation 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Now, get spread, total and money-line picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
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You can too see Sunday’s high NBA picks from knowledgeable Matt Severance, who’s on a scorching 100-43 (+2395.75) roll on his final 143 NBA participant props picks, has locked in his favourite NBA participant prop wager for Sunday. Visit SportsLine to see who Severance is backing or fading, all from an expert who’s up nearly 24 units.