NBA offseason 2025 – How shut is each franchise to a title?

The Oklahoma City Thunder received their first championship on Sunday evening, beating the Indiana Pacers in Sport 7 of the NBA Finals to develop into the seventh straight new titleholder in a record-setting period of parity within the league.

Solely time will inform if that milestone quantity will stretch to eight subsequent 12 months or if OKC is about to develop into the league’s subsequent dynastic drive. What is definite is that the Thunder’s victory formally places a bow on the 2024-25 NBA season. Because of this, the chase to catch the champs is formally on.

To arrange what portends to be a large offseason within the NBA, we took a holistic take a look at the place all 30 groups stand of their pursuit of a crown and the most important questions every faces this summer season.

To take action, we divided the 30 franchises into 10 tiers. We began with the true title contenders and ended with the groups going through what the Thunder themselves confronted simply 4 years in the past: the throes of a full rebuild.

(Notice: Groups are organized alphabetically inside every tier, and the projected wage cap area for every comes by way of ESPN’s Bobby Marks.)

True NBA title contender

Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 15
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 10 first-round picks, 17 second-round picks

Oklahoma Metropolis has a humiliation of riches. Not solely did the Thunder simply win their first title with a roster that includes no gamers older than 31 and solely two older than 27. Additionally they have 15 gamers underneath contract, with two extra first-round picks coming on this 12 months’s draft, which means they should create some roster room this summer season. In the meantime, Oklahoma Metropolis secured the Larry O’Brien Trophy with out paying the posh tax, and it will not be paying the tax subsequent 12 months, both. It will permit the Thunder to sock away financial savings for the longer term because the roster begins to get costly this summer season, when Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren are eligible for rookie extensions and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can agree to an enormous future supermax extension.

It pays to be within the East

Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 4 second-round picks

The Cavaliers had a terrific common season with the second-highest win whole in franchise historical past, earlier than falling flat of their Japanese Convention semifinal loss to the Pacers. However whereas the Cavaliers had some points uncovered in that sequence, there aren’t a whole lot of avenues for them to be addressed, given Cleveland has a choice to make on Ty Jerome, who’s going to get a big increase from the $2.5 million he made this season. (The identical goes for Sam Merrill and his $2.1 million.) However except the Cavaliers make trades, they will be largely operating it again.

New York Knicks (51-31)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 7 second-round picks

The Knicks made their first main transfer of the summer season once they selected to dismiss coach Tom Thibodeau after reaching the Japanese Convention finals for the primary time in 25 years. Discovering a brand new voice within the locker room comes with determining what the Knicks will do to attempt to increase the roster. With some artistic accounting, New York ought to be capable of use the $5.6 million taxpayer’s midlevel exception and keep under the second apron. Can they land a difference-maker with it? And might the Knicks add extra depth past their prime seven, with the intense lights of New York, a contending group and enjoying time to supply gamers on minimal offers? Or will they attempt to do one thing greater and transfer gamers from that prime seven to swing for a much bigger fish? There’s additionally a possible Mikal Bridges extension to contemplate. Transferring on from Thibodeau reveals New York is not glad with simply being good; the Knicks have made it clear that solely a 2026 Finals berth will probably be deemed a hit subsequent season.

Better of the remainder within the West

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Denver Nuggets (50-32)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 1 second-round choose

If not for a wild fourth quarter from Thunder guard Luguentz Dort in Sport 5 of the convention semifinals, maybe Denver could be celebrating a second title in three years. As a substitute, the Nuggets are reeling from a second straight seven-game exit within the second spherical. The primary order of enterprise will probably be figuring out who will lead the entrance workplace after formally retaining David Adelman as coach. Whomever Denver hires as normal supervisor will face roster choices straight away. First, Denver has to see if it could possibly get Christian Braun, one of many higher younger guards within the league, signed to a contract extension. Past that, the Nuggets will probably be hoping to improve their roster, with restricted belongings, to attempt to chase down OKC atop the West.

Houston Rockets (52-30)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 4 first-round picks, 2 second-round picks

After an amazing season that noticed the Rockets end second within the convention and lose in seven hard-fought video games to the Warriors in the course of the first spherical, it turned clear Houston wanted to improve its offense. How about touchdown Kevin Durant? That was precisely what the Rockets did hours earlier than Sunday’s Sport 7, including the longer term Corridor of Famer in change for Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks and the No. 10 choose on this 12 months’s draft. That can permit the Rockets to stay an possibility if one other star turns into obtainable later this offseason or subsequent 12 months. And whereas Fred VanVleet has a $44 million group possibility for subsequent season, anticipate him to stay in Houston both on that deal or a brand new one.

Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 8
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: no first-round picks, 4 second-round picks

Coming off back-to-back convention finals appearances is justifiable trigger for celebration within the Twin Cities. However as Marc Lore and Alex Rodriguez absolutely take over as house owners this summer season, there are a number of large choices forward. Will Tim Connelly, who can decide out of his contract, stay accountable for the franchise shifting ahead? What is going to occur with pending unrestricted free brokers Julius Randle and Naz Reid — each of whom have participant choices for subsequent season — and Nickeil Alexander-Walker? Connelly expressed optimism that each one three could be again throughout his end-of-season media session, and Minnesota cannot afford to take any steps backward within the West.

Elite contenders with damage woes

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Boston Celtics (61-21)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 2 first-round picks, 5 second-round picks

Few offseasons in NBA historical past have been extra fascinating than what’s awaiting the Celtics. Due to Jayson Tatum‘s left Achilles tear, a group that has dominated the East for the higher a part of a decade now has large questions as new proprietor Invoice Chisholm will get set to take over the group this summer season. There have been doubts even earlier than Tatum’s damage that Boston would have the primary $500 million roster in NBA historical past. It is inconceivable to see that taking place now. How Boston approaches this summer season might be crucial choice any group within the league makes, when it comes to the ripple results that call might trigger. Then there’s the way forward for franchise stalwart and future Corridor of Famer Al Horford. Within the wake of Tatum’s damage, might Horford select to play elsewhere? If he does, his stretch-big skillset would match with any contending group, and he has proven he is nonetheless a extremely efficient participant even at 39 years previous.

Indiana Pacers (50-32)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 4 first-round picks, 8 second-round picks

After their gorgeous run to the NBA Finals, and to inside a number of pictures of the franchise’s first championship, the main focus shifts to Tyrese Haliburton‘s restoration from the precise Achilles damage he suffered early in Sport 7. Indiana has proved its resiliency in these playoffs, but when Haliburton is out for all of subsequent season, it is exhausting to see the Pacers replicating this 12 months’s run. Within the meantime, additionally they need to resolve what to do about Myles Turner, the very best obtainable free agent heart and an important a part of Indiana’s five-out offense. The Pacers are anticipated to re-sign Turner; the query is whether or not the Pacers will go into the posh tax to take action.

Milwaukee Bucks (48-34)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 7
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 2 second-round picks

Just like the Celtics, the Bucks have a choice that might trigger ripple results all through the league: What does Giannis Antetokounmpo‘s future in Milwaukee appear like? After 12 seasons with the franchise, there are actual questions on how aggressive the Bucks will be subsequent season following Damian Lillard‘s left Achilles tear. The expectation is that the Bucks want to get out of the posh tax after paying a whole bunch of hundreds of thousands lately, which means franchise stalwart and unrestricted free agent Brook Lopez might be priced out of a return.

Getting old star energy

Golden State Warriors (48-34)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 9
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 4 first-round picks, 1 second-round choose

After touchdown Jimmy Butler III on the commerce deadline, Golden State managed to win a playoff spherical earlier than Stephen Curry bought harm and the Timberwolves rapidly dispatched the Warriors in 5 video games in Spherical 2. Now, the main focus shifts to what possible will probably be yet one more eventful summer season within the Bay Space, starting with the tough negotiations with restricted free agent ahead Jonathan Kuminga. Golden State possible will both convey him again on a brand new deal or signal and commerce him so as to add reinforcements to the roster. Every path has a differing stage of complexity. Regardless, the Warriors might want to discover methods to reinforce the roster to maintain up within the very troublesome West.

LA Clippers (50-32)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 2 first-round picks, 4 second-round picks

The Clippers outperformed this season, ending fifth within the West and pushing the Nuggets to seven video games in an exhilarating first-round sequence. LA’s prime priorities? Finding out the way forward for James Harden, who has a $36.3 million participant possibility, and deciding whether or not to increase Norman Powell, who’s coming off the very best season of his profession. (Powell has a $20.4 million expiring contract in 2025-26.) The Clippers additionally might have a lot of the full midlevel exception obtainable or they may use that wage flexibility to make strikes by way of commerce.

Los Angeles Lakers (50-32)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 1 second-round choose

Summer season isn’t boring for the Lakers, and this 12 months is not any completely different. Not solely did the Lakers simply promote for a report $10 billion, however the franchise is ready on one other free company choice from LeBron James. Now 40, he can decide into his $52.6 million participant possibility for subsequent season with an extension, decide in with out an extension or decide out and signal a brand new contract. (Ahead Dorian Finney-Smith faces the identical three selections along with his personal $15.3 million possibility.) Luka Doncic, in the meantime, might select to signal an extension or go away the Lakers in limbo till subsequent summer season. Austin Reaves can comply with an extension off his $13.9 million contract. And at last: After declining to finish the Mark Williams commerce in February, can the Lakers get a rim-running heart for Doncic?

Rising younger groups with upside

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Detroit Pistons (44-38)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None (almost certainly)
Whole tradable picks: 4 first-round picks, 13 second-round picks

The Pistons, who received a playoff recreation for the primary time since 2008, have two very completely different paths they’ll take. Assuming they re-sign unrestricted free brokers Tim Hardaway Jr., Malik Beasley and Dennis Schroder, they will function as an over-the-tax group and attempt to add to their roster with the complete midlevel exception or by way of commerce this summer season. The opposite alternative? Let these gamers go, clear cap area and go after a free agent — doubtlessly a floor-spacing large to create extra room for All-NBA guard Cade Cunningham to function. Both means, after normal supervisor Trajan Langdon spent his first season in cost constructing a strong ecosystem round Cunningham — serving to to launch him to a different stage as a participant — anticipate that to be the guideline of Detroit’s summer season.

Orlando Magic (41-41)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 14
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 1 first-round choose, 11 second-round picks

After years of inactivity underneath president of basketball operations Jeff Weltman, Orlando pushed in all of its chips by sending 4 first-round picks plus a swap to Memphis in final week’s gorgeous commerce for guard Desmond Bane. Bane, a terrific shooter who can also create for himself and others and is not a defensive legal responsibility, is a dream match for a Magic roster desperately in want of offense after rating final in 3-point taking pictures this season. Bane boosts Orlando with out the group sacrificing its defensive id, and he’ll slot proper in alongside Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero (up for a max extension this summer season) and Franz Wagner as Orlando’s core shifting ahead. Trades comparable to this, nevertheless, are solely made for those who consider it makes you a real contender to achieve the NBA Finals. Given Orlando hasn’t received a playoff sequence since 2010, that is a lofty bar to clear.

San Antonio Spurs (34-48)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 3 first-round picks, 15 second-round picks

Having traded for De’Aaron Fox in February then touchdown the second choose on this week’s NBA draft, San Antonio will probably be entrance and heart in any dialogue of stars altering groups this summer season to doubtlessly pair with rising celebrity Victor Wembanyama, whom the Spurs consider will probably be wholesome to begin the season after having this marketing campaign reduce brief resulting from a deep vein thrombosis analysis. The opposite query in San Antonio: What does Chris Paul do after a really profitable first season with the Spurs?

Will the true group please arise?

Dallas Mavericks (39-43)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 13
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 3 first-round picks, 2 second-round picks

What a wild journey in Dallas. The Mavericks shocked the league by buying and selling Luka Doncic in February, solely to shock it once more by leaping from eleventh to first within the draft lottery final month to safe the precise to draft one other phenom in Cooper Flagg. With Flagg set to anchor the franchise for the subsequent decade, the Mavs have to determine what to do with Kyrie Irving, who will miss at the least nearly all of subsequent season with a torn left ACL and has a $42.9 million participant possibility on the books. Whereas Irving is anticipated to be again, Dallas desperately wants some extra ballhandling, particularly whereas he is out.

Memphis Grizzlies (48-34)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: Fluid
Whole tradable picks: 7 first-round picks, 6 second-round picks

After a disappointing closing few months of the season, culminating in firing coach Taylor Jenkins and getting swept out of the playoffs by the Thunder, the primary order of enterprise in Memphis is determining whether or not Jaren Jackson Jr. can safe a brand new extension. Jackson is on an expiring $23.4 million deal, one far under his present worth, which means Memphis might want to renegotiate and lengthen the previous Defensive Participant of the Yr to get a deal carried out. That is why the Grizzlies moved on from Marcus Smart in the course of the season. And Memphis has hoped to get Jackson locked up. Assuming the Grizzlies do, additionally they have to determine the way forward for restricted free agent Santi Aldama and guard Luke Kennard.

Philadelphia 76ers (24-58)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 9
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 3 first-round picks, 7 second-round picks

Any predictions for Philadelphia hinge on Joel Embiid‘s well being, which stays very a lot an open query. Philly will probably be hoping it could possibly get one thing near full energy from Embiid subsequent season, in addition to a greater model of Paul George and an able-bodied Jared McCain, after the rookie standout was shut down with a left meniscus damage in December. The 76ers loved a great begin to their offseason by leaping to 3rd within the lottery and thus holding their top-six protected choose.

Caught in purgatory

Atlanta Hawks (40-42)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 3 first-round picks, 6 second-round picks

After firing GM Landry Fields in April and selling Onsi Saleh to run basketball operations, the primary query for proprietor Tony Ressler and the Hawks is whether or not they will rent a president of basketball operations over Saleh. (Ressler has made it clear — a 12 months after hiring Saleh away from Golden State — that Saleh will probably be an enormous a part of the group going ahead.) As soon as that is settled, a pivotal offseason awaits the Hawks, starting with a choice on franchise participant Trae Young. With one 12 months left on his deal earlier than a participant possibility for the 2026-27 season, will Atlanta lock him up long run or doubtlessly look to maneuver on? Past that, there’s an interesting extension dialogue forward for guard Dyson Daniels, who received the Most Improved Participant Award after coming over within the Dejounte Murray commerce final summer season. The Hawks even have choices on unrestricted free brokers Caris LeVert and Larry Nance Jr.

Chicago Bulls (39-43)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 12
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 5 first-round picks, 5 second-round picks

There is no such thing as a group extra caught than the Bulls, who enter the summer season with their roster largely underneath contract however with some vital choices to make — starting with restricted free agent Josh Giddey, whom they acquired for Alex Caruso final summer season. Giddey goes to anticipate a giant payday. Are the Bulls prepared to provide him one? Coby White has outplayed his contract to the purpose the place an extension off his $12.9 million feels unlikely to get carried out. Because of this, does that make him a commerce candidate? The Bulls presently have virtually no cash on the books for the 2026-27 season, however a Giddey extension would rapidly change that.

Miami Heat (37-45)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 12
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 2 first-round picks, 1 second-round choose

With the Butler saga formally behind them, the query going through Miami is: What is going to it take for the Warmth to regain their standing as a top-tier group within the East after floating round within the play-in? Rookie Kel’el Ware had a formidable season, and he, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo give the Warmth some younger constructing blocks shifting ahead. However how Miami improves is not clear. There is a choice to be made on Duncan Robinson, who has $9.8 million of his $19.8 million expiring contract assured till early July. And the Warmth additionally might protect what might be a ton of cap area for the summer season of 2026, when a extra energetic free agent crop might be obtainable.

New Orleans Pelicans (21-61)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 13
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 5 first-round picks, 4 second-round picks

New lead government Joe Dumars has some work to do that summer season. The Pelicans possible will probably be with out Dejounte Murray for all of subsequent season after he tore his proper Achilles tendon, which means the expectation will probably be for this group to once more be deep within the lottery. With Zion Williamson representing the group on the lottery, what does that portend for his future in New Orleans? He has three extra years on his contract. Does New Orleans hold attempting to construct round this present younger core of Williamson, Murray, Trey Murphy III and Herbert Jones or start shifting in one other course?

Phoenix Suns (36-46)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 11
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 2 first-round picks, 7 second-round picks

The primary transfer of the Suns’ new period, directed by lead government Brian Gregory and coach Jordan Ott, was to ship Kevin Durant to the Rockets within the hours main as much as Sport 7 of the NBA Finals. Whereas Houston bought again Jalen Inexperienced, Dillon Brooks and the tenth choose in Wednesday’s NBA draft, the deal will not be official till July 6. By then, anticipate the Suns to look quite a bit completely different than immediately. Devin Booker goes to get a large two-year extension subsequent month, however the Suns are anticipated to be aggressive in attempting to retool the roster round him, sources mentioned, and attempt to get Phoenix again into the playoff combine. That will not be simple: The skillsets of Inexperienced, Booker and Bradley Beal — who nonetheless has his no-trade clause — all overlap, and there are restricted mechanisms for the Suns (who stay wildly costly) to enhance.

Sacramento Kings (40-42)

Total gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 6 first-round picks, 3 second-round picks

New lead government Scott Perry takes over an unbalanced Kings roster. Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Malik Monk all have overlapping talent units, and the De’Aaron Fox commerce left the group with out an apparent level guard possibility on the roster. Perry has an intriguing choice to make on Keon Ellis, who has a $2.3 million group possibility and has was a pleasant developmental story as a 3-and-D guard, a necessity for a roster devoid of many defensive choices. However the Fox transfer felt like the primary of a two-step course of; and whereas Perry did not make that first transfer, will probably be as much as him to make the second.

Toronto Raptors (30-52)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 13
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 4 first-round picks, 6 second-round picks

President of basketball operations Masai Ujiri declared Toronto would not be rebuilding without end, and the Raptors have caught to that imaginative and prescient, rapidly overhauling the roster in 18 months. Now, they’re bumping up towards the posh tax and are going to need to make some attention-grabbing choices this summer season after buying and selling for Brandon Ingram and signing him to a contract extension in February. Due to a left ankle sprain that stored him out the rest of the marketing campaign, we by no means noticed what this Raptors group seemed like collectively after the commerce.

Rebuilding groups with expertise

Charlotte Hornets (19-63)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 12
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 7 first-round picks, 11 second-round picks

The Hornets had designs on leaping up within the lottery and getting both Cooper Flagg or Dylan Harper within the draft however as an alternative fell to seventh. And after Mark Williams was traded to Los Angeles — then wasn’t — again in February, these will probably be very attention-grabbing extension negotiations. So long as the franchise stays close to the underside of the East standings, there’ll at the least be a query as to Charlotte’s long-term course, and what which means for star guard LaMelo Ball. And veterans Miles Bridges ($25 million this 12 months, $22.8 million subsequent 12 months) and Jusuf Nurkic (expiring $19.3 million) may be doubtlessly traded. Additionally they need to decide on restricted free agent Tre Mann after he missed a lot of the season with a again damage.

Portland Trail Blazers (36-46)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 13
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 3 first-round picks, 5 second-round picks

There’s quite a bit occurring in Portland. The group is now up on the market, and after a powerful near the season, each normal supervisor Joe Cronin and coach Chauncey Billups got contract extensions. However the place does Portland go from right here? Anfernee Simons is on an expiring contract; does he get an extension, or does he doubtlessly get dealt? What about Deandre Ayton, who’s on a $35 million expiring contract of his personal and stays an obstacle to giving final 12 months’s seventh total choose, Donovan Clingan, a full runway because the group’s beginning heart?

Sitting at Step 1

Brooklyn Nets (26-56)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 10
Projected wage cap area: $40-60 million
Whole tradable picks: 9 first-round picks, 15 second-round picks

The Nets, like a number of different groups, hoped for lottery luck. As a substitute, they moved again two spots to eighth. They enter the summer season with essentially the most cap area within the league however with little of worth to spend it on. Additionally they have a ton of picks, however it makes extra sense for this group to wrestle yet another season and use its draft choose (the rights to which it reacquired from Houston within the Mikal Bridges commerce final 12 months). Nonetheless, the Nets might select to make use of their cap area to hurry up the rebuild this summer season, they may use it to permit groups to save cash and get much more belongings, or some mixture of the 2. There’s additionally the potential of shifting their two veterans underneath contract, Nic Claxton and Cameron Johnson.

Utah Jazz (17-65)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 14
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 7 first-round picks, 7 second-round picks

After locking up coach Will Hardy to a long-term contract extension and hiring Austin Ainge away from the Boston Celtics to be the group’s president of basketball operations, Utah’s management is about for years to return. Now comes the exhausting half: starting to construct out this roster out to the purpose the place it could possibly contend within the ruthless Western Convention. Step 1 in that plan? Deciding what to do with Lauri Markkanen. After final 12 months’s tank for Flagg failed, might Markkanen be doubtlessly traded so as to add extra belongings and align the group round its younger gamers — together with the fifth choose on this 12 months’s draft — going ahead? Veterans John Collins, Collin Sexton and Jordan Clarkson even have a mixed $60 million in expiring offers that might be utilized in quite a lot of methods.

Washington Wizards (18-64)

Whole gamers underneath contract: 13
Projected wage cap area: None
Whole tradable picks: 6 first-round picks, 14 second-round picks

Yet one more group that struck out within the lottery, Washington can at the least level to younger gamers comparable to Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington and Kyshawn George getting priceless expertise as a part of Washington’s season among the many dregs of the league. However do not anticipate a wildly completely different playbook in D.C. this season, because the younger guys will proceed to play quite a bit, veterans comparable to Marcus Good and his expiring $21 million will probably be doubtlessly used to convey again extra belongings in offers and the Wizards will once more possible stay within the hunt for one of many league’s three worst information.