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In immediately’s problem:
- Senate GOP slogs by way of megabill modifications
- What do Tillis, Bacon retirements spell for 2026?
- Trump targets Fed’s board, chair and Musk
- Netanyahu to go to White Home
THE FATE OF THE SENATE’s mammoth tax and spending invoice this morning activates nailing down remaining assist from senators who’ve lingering misgivings.
“We’re shut,” Senate Majority Chief John Thune (R-S.D.) advised reporters early this morning whereas getting into his workplace because the GOP’s vote-a-rama inched towards the 21-hour mark.
On the Senate ground, Democrats have labored hour after hour to amend the sprawling invoice that champions President Trump’s agenda — or to drive Republicans to take robust votes.
In some instances, Democrats have attracted assist from a number of GOP colleagues whereas failing to considerably change the 940-page measure. At one level, 18 Republicans voted to lift taxes on the nation’s wealthiest People to assist fund rural hospitals that might be hit arduous by the invoice’s Medicaid cuts. The Medicaid modifications are geared toward serving to offset the tax cuts Trump is decided to increase past this 12 months.
On the White Home, Trump and his advisers have been lobbying senators, making clear that the objective stays a invoice signing ceremony by Friday, July 4. And ready on the opposite aspect of the Capitol are Home Republicans, who’ve been fuming concerning the Senate-bill-in-progress.
Conservatives within the Home on Monday cricitized the “One Massive Lovely Invoice Act” as vastly inferior to the laws they handed by a single vote in Could. The Home is anticipated to return as quickly as Wednesday to behave on the laws, assuming the Senate wraps up its work.
Thune’s focus in a single day turned to Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), whose vote one senator described as a “coin flip.” She desires to exempt her state from some Medicaid cuts within the invoice.
Late Monday, a gaggle of conservatives huddled with the Senate GOP leader because it turned clear an modification they backed to additional cut back Medicaid spending didn’t have the votes to go.
Republicans can lose a most of three votes, and Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) are already anticipated to vote “no” over their opposition to proposed Medicaid cuts and the inclusion of a $5 trillion debt ceiling hike, respectively. Thune spent a while in a single day speaking privately along with his Kentucky colleague.
Not less than a half-dozen Republican senators stated Monday they have been undecided, and several other points that might make or break their selections churned in flux.
▪ Follow The Hill’s live blog for the motion pictures Senate protection.
▪ NBC News: Who would win and who would lose in Republicans’ “huge, lovely invoice.”
West Virginia Republican Sen. Jim Justice on Monday joined Tillis in expressing doubts concerning the political knowledge of Senate modifications to Medicaid proposed by Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), who desires to cease able-bodied adults with out dependent kids from receiving the 9-to-1 federal Medicaid matching share, a proposal that would cut back federal Medicaid spending by an extra $313 billion on high of what’s already within the GOP megabill.
“And now we’re taking it to a different stage,” Justice stated of Scott’s proposal to bar new enrollees into Medicaid in states that expanded this system from getting the beneficiant 90 % federal match. Thirty-three percent of West Virginians profit from Medicaid protection, a reality Justice is aware of effectively because the state’s former governor.
Democrats have made clear the place their political messaging is heading after any invoice signing. “It’s unhealthy laws,” Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) advised MSNBC on Monday. “If this passes, this can be a political reward for Democrats.”
▪ The Hill: Senate defeats Maine Sen. Susan Collins’ (R) proposal to lift taxes on highest earners to assist rural hospitals.
▪ The New York Times: Right here’s an inventory of practically every little thing within the Senate GOP invoice and the way a lot it will value or save.
▪ Bloomberg News: Senate GOP on Monday eliminated a tax invoice provision limiting state AI regulation.
Subsequent, the megabill should return to the Home, the place it handed earlier than Memorial Day with a one-vote margin. Home Republicans have expressed skepticism of the Senate’s invoice, however the higher chamber GOP is squeezing the timeline to attempt to drive their colleagues to vote on their model of the laws.
Nonetheless, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) — tasked as soon as once more with pulling a rabbit out of a legislative hat to push the invoice by way of along with his razor-thin majority — opened the door final week to blowing previous the vacation.
“We’re going to go this invoice someway,” Johnson said leaving the Capitol on Monday night. “And I’ve prevailed upon my Senate colleagues to please, please, please, put it as near the Home product as doable. I’ve been very constant from the very starting.”
That additional time may very well be essential, reports The Hill’s Mychael Schnell. Not less than six average Home Republicans are planning to vote “no” on the Senate invoice in its present kind, The Hill has discovered, as they air issues about modifications to Medicaid and the rollback of green-energy tax credit. Arduous-line conservatives, in the meantime, have raised sharp objections to the laws over the affect it should have on the deficit.
▪ Politico: The Senate megabill is on a collision course with Home fiscal hawks.
“On the textual content chains, on the telephone calls, everyone seems to be complaining,” one average Home Republican advised The Hill. “There’s just a few little provisions individuals will say one thing constructive about, however nobody is proud of the Senate model.”
“It’s wonderful to loads of us,” the member added. “How did it get a lot f‑‑‑ing worse?”
SMART TAKE with BLAKE BURMAN
Is the political evolution surrounding Elon Musk about to proceed? The world’s wealthiest man threatened to primary those that campaigned on lowering authorities spending however vote for the One, Massive Lovely Invoice Act. I spoke with two lawmakers on completely different sides of the aisle shortly after the submit.
“I do not at all times agree with Elon Musk. I do agree with him on this,” Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) told me. “Elon Musk ought to do what Elon Musk desires to do.”
“It is actually attention-grabbing him making these forms of claims when he is made a major amount of cash off subsidies from the federal authorities within the type of electrical automobile subsidies, and people are the forms of issues that should be lower on this invoice,” Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.) advised me.
A a lot completely different tone from only a month in the past when Musk was within the White Home — revered by the best and a foe to the left.
3 Issues to Know In the present day
- Federal officers hailed Operation Gold Rush, calling it the most important health care fraud takedown in U.S. historical past. Officers say they have been capable of cease Medicare from paying out $10 billion, however perpetrators nonetheless collected about $1 billion from different insurers.
- Trump immediately heads to “Alligator Alcatraz” for the opening of the momentary migrant detention and deportation middle arrange at a small airport within the Everglades. Florida Rep. Byron Donalds, a Republican gubernatorial candidate backed by Trump who will attend the occasion, told the Miami Herald that the U.S. wants extra authorized immigration.
- People have hassle sleeping. Why is insomnia on the rise?
Main the Day
A PAIR OF GOP RETIREMENTS is throwing up new challenges for Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms, because the celebration seeks to defend its Home and Senate majorities.
Key GOP average Rep. Don Bacon (Neb.) introduced he’ll retire subsequent 12 months, teeing up a battle for one of many most competitive districts within the nation, based mostly in Omaha.
Former President Biden received Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District in 2020 and former Vice President Kamala Harris captured the district in final 12 months’s presidential election.
Bacon prompt he grew weary of attempting to remain in Trump’s good graces with out alienating his more and more Democratic district. The 61-year-old stated he was pleased with his bipartisan method amid bitter partisanship in Washington.
“It’s disconcerting to get attacked from the best,” Bacon told reporters.
Democrats have had eyes on the “blue dot” district for years, after Bacon first received it in 2016, and renewed their pledge to focus on the seat subsequent 12 months.
▪ Nebraska Examiner: Who’s eyeing Bacon’s seat?
▪ The Wall Street Journal: Bacon stated he’s not essentially a “sure” on the Senate model of Trump’s “huge, lovely invoice.”
In the meantime, North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis (R), who opposes the Trump megabill due to proposed Medicaid modifications and has been pilloried by the president for wandering off the GOP reservation, introduced over the weekend that he received’t search reelection.
Former Senate Majority Chief Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) known as his colleague’s choice a “big setback” for Senate Republicans and The Hill’s Jared Gans reviews the turmoil scrambled the 2026 discipline.
The Tar Heel State race was already prepped to be some of the high-profile contests of the midterms and one of many two major targets for Democrats hoping to not less than slender the Republican majority.
Even when Democrats have been capable of flip the seat, they’d have their work lower out for them to win again the bulk: Democrats would want to web three extra seats, together with in a number of deep-red states—seen as unlikely.
Nonetheless, with Tillis out, the North Carolina open seat is anticipated to change into extra hotly contested. The president’s daughter-in-law Lara Trump is weighing a bid, amongst a number of different Republicans floated in current days, whereas widespread former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) is eyeing leaping into the race.
Trump’s endorsement within the Republican major will carry outsize weight. Tillis advised Trump throughout a telephone name earlier than asserting his retirement that the president ought to “start thinking about my replacement.”
▪ Wall Street Journal editorial board: Trump is placing “his presidency in danger” by driving Tillis into retirement.
▪ The Hill: Sen. Tillis: Bolo for YOLO, by Chris Stirewalt.
ELSEWHERE:
New York Metropolis: Few Democratic Social gathering leaders have endorsed progressive upstart Zohran Mamdani, 33, a democratic socialist campaigning in opposition to Mayor Eric Adams (I), reports The Hill’s Amie Parnes.
South Dakota: Rep. Dusty Johnson (R) announced his candidacy for governor.
Pennsylvania: Rep. Dwight Evans (D-Pa.), 71, announced he’ll retire on the finish of 2026 fairly than search reelection to his Philadelphia-based seat. He’s the third Home Democrat this 12 months to announce an exit with out plans to hunt greater workplace. All have been older than 70.
When and The place
- Welcome to July! ☀️
- Simply introduced: The Hill and NewsNation host their inaugural Hill Nation Summit in Washington on July 16. Request to attend.
- The president immediately travels to Florida for the opening of a state-federal detention facility on the Dade-Collier Training and Transition Airport.
- The Senate is in session.
- The Home will meet on Wednesday at 9 a.m.
Zoom In
INTEREST RATES: Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell once more on Fact Social along with the entire Fed board, urging benchmark rates of interest of 1 % “or higher.” The president on Monday additionally shared a handwritten observe to Powell urging him to decrease rates of interest, his motion pictures try to push the central financial institution to take action.
“Jerome — You’re, as normal, ‘too late.’ You will have value the USA A fortune — and proceed to take action — it is best to decrease the speed — by quite a bit!” Trump wrote. “A whole lot of billions of {dollars} being misplaced! No inflation.”
Fed officers kicked off the 12 months anticipating to proceed chopping rates of interest as inflation drifted again towards its superb annual stage of two %. However the financial institution has held off by way of the primary half of 2025 amid the uncertainty pushed by Trump’s tariff plans. The president has for months railed in opposition to Powell, and mused about firing the Fed chair, whom he appointed to the job in 2017. Powell’s time period ends in 2026.
TRUMP TARGETS MUSK: The president in an in a single day social media submit suggested that the Division of Authorities Effectivity, which his former adviser Elon Musk led, “take a very good, arduous” have a look at subsidies to the Tesla CEO’s corporations.
Trump renewed his risk to go after Musk’s companies after the tech billionaire amped up his calls Monday for a brand new political celebration as he lodged sharp criticism in opposition to Trump’s megabill.
The tech billionaire, whose shut relationship with Trump shortly devolved right into a public conflict final month, has blasted the invoice as “totally insane” and “political suicide” for the GOP. Amid his tiff with Trump, Musk floated the thought of “The America Social gathering” to “signify the 80% within the center.”
TRADE: The Trump administration on Monday welcomed Canada’s about-face on a digital services tax amid commerce negotiations with america as a victory. However for Ottawa, it might have simply been a calculated tactical retreat.
After Trump on Friday stated he would halt commerce talks with Canada over the tax, the Canadian authorities introduced Sunday it will be scrapped. Prime Minister Mark Carney stated the choice was meant to allow the resumption of commerce talks with the U.S.
Plenty of European nations even have such tax insurance policies in place, which Trump has known as “very nasty.” The European Union is also locked in trade talks over Trump’s tariffs.
▪ The Hill: António Costa, president of the European Council, stated he expects NATO members’ new 5 % protection spending pledge to assist pave the way in which for a commerce settlement between the U.S. and EU.
▪ The Hill: The commerce deal reducing U.S. tariffs on some U.Ok. imports took impact Monday.
Different nations’ attempts at trade negotiations aren’t faring effectively.
Trump has stated he’ll ship letters to buying and selling companions to ascertain tariff charges forward of the July 8 expiration on the pause on his hefty “reciprocal” tariffs. Officers, although, have insisted for months that talks are progressing with buying and selling companions, together with with Japan, in addition to with India and Vietnam.
“To indicate individuals how spoiled Nations have change into with respect to america of America, and I’ve nice respect for Japan, they received’t take our RICE, and but they’ve a large rice scarcity,” Trump stated on Fact Social, referring to Japan’s rice disaster that has elevated costs.
▪ Reuters: Officers from India will prolong their Washington go to to attempt to attain settlement on a commerce take care of the Trump administration and tackle lingering issues on either side.
▪ The Associated Press: The U.S. and China introduced a commerce settlement — once more. Right here’s what it means.
▪ The New York Times: As America’s largest buying and selling companions race towards offers, they’re more and more apprehensive about being hit with future tariffs on their vital industries.
In the meantime, African leaders are torn of their dealings with the Trump administration, The Hill’s Laura Kelly reports from Angola, looking for to steadiness their determined want for funding with deep frustrations over the U.S. president’s rhetoric and actions towards the continent.
COURTS: The Supreme Court docket on Monday agreed to take up Vice President Vance and GOP committees’ bid to strike down federal limits on political events’ spending made in coordination with campaigns. It units the stage for a serious marketing campaign finance battle throughout the court docket’s subsequent annual time period, which begins in October.
The Supreme Court docket’s ruling in a case on birthright citizenship gave an ominous warning to these difficult different Trump insurance policies by curbing the usage of a nationwide injunction that barred the order from being applied all throughout the nation.
▪ USA Today: The Supreme Court docket stated decrease courts should rethink their selections that government-sponsored insurance coverage should pay for gender-affirming care. The order comes after the justices’ current landmark ruling upholding Tennessee’s ban on gender-affirming take care of minors.
▪ The Hill: Supreme Court docket Justice Amy Coney Barrett lands again in MAGA’s good graces.
▪ CBS News: A federal Justice of the Peace decide stated Monday that Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the Salvadoran man who was mistakenly deported after which returned to the U.S. to face felony fees of human smuggling, will stay in federal custody till not less than mid-July.
▪ The Washington Post: Immigration and Customs Enforcement is arresting migrants throughout worksite raids at small companies and employers are largely escaping fees.
Elsehwere
MIDDLE EAST: As the delicate ceasefire between Israel and Iran nears one week, there’s little readability on what comes subsequent in U.S.-Iran relations and whether or not Iran stays a near-term nuclear risk.
Trump and Iran’s leaders have despatched combined alerts on resuming nuclear talks, whereas new proof known as into additional query Trump’s claims that U.S. strikes obliterated Iran’s nuclear risk. Trump on Monday denied reviews that he’s weighing a $30 billion take care of Iran that might enable for the event of civilian nuclear services. The Hill’s Ellen Mitchell breaks down 5 new developments within the ceasefire.
In the meantime, Trump will host Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for talks on the White Home subsequent Monday. The go to comes after Israeli officers headed to Washington for a new ceasefire push led by Trump. A day after Trump known as to “Make the deal in Gaza, get the hostages again,” Israel’s strategic affairs minister, Ron Dermer, a confidant of Netanyahu, headed to Washington for talks on Iran and Gaza.
Along with an finish to the conflict in Gaza, Israel now seems extra concerned with formalizing diplomatic relations with a few of its long-standing adversaries following its assaults on Iran.
“This victory presents a possibility for a dramatic widening of peace agreements,” Netanyahu said in a statement final week. “We’re engaged on this with enthusiasm.”
Iran’s deputy international minister told the BBC that Tehran’s leaders can be keen to renew diplomatic talks over the nation’s nuclear program if the U.S. agrees it won’t launch any extra navy strikes.
▪ The Associated Press: Per week into the delicate Israel-Iran peace settlement, right here’s what we nonetheless don’t know.
▪ The Hill: The Trump administration revoked U.S. visas for members of punk-rap duo Bob Vylan after the group’s inflammatory remarks about Israel throughout a efficiency on the U.Ok.’s Glastonbury Competition.
UKRAINE: Russia has unleashed its summer season offensive in jap Ukraine and is slowly transferring ahead. Moscow has the benefit in manpower, artillery shells and missiles, and the following months are essential in President Vladimir Putin’s bid to drive Kyiv’s capitulation. However specialists warn The Washington Post that the military is mired in issues, experiencing weaknesses in intelligence, corruption, logistical failures and poor coaching.
▪ Al Jazeera: In Ukraine, most again negotiations over extra combating to finish Russia’s conflict.
▪ The Wall Street Journal: Holding the Russians off has change into a recreation of whack-a-mole for outnumbered Ukrainian troops, with Russia ceaselessly opening new strains of assault.
Opinion
- The good finances baseline con, by The Wall Street Journal editorial board.
- Trump’s America is starting to look extra like China, by Jacob Dreyer, visitor essayist, The New York Times.
The Nearer
And eventually … 🛳️ Youngster overboard! The fast-acting crew aboard a Disney Dream cruise ship that was returning to Fort Lauderdale, Fla., from the Bahamas on Sunday rescued a young girl who fell from the ship into the sea. Her father, who reportedly leaped into the water after his daughter fell from the fourth deck, treaded water along with her for a lot of minutes forward of a dramatic rescue captured on video by different passengers.
“We commend our crew members for his or her distinctive abilities and immediate actions, which ensured the protected return of each company to the ship inside minutes,” Disney stated in a press release. “We’re dedicated to the protection and well-being of our company, and this incident highlights the effectiveness of our security protocols.”
The Miami Herald: “Nothing in need of a miracle.”
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