Editor’s notice: The Hill’s Morning Report is our each day publication that dives deep into Washington’s agenda. To subscribe, click here or fill out the field under.
In right this moment’s situation:
- Triumphant Trump poised for “massive, lovely” invoice signing
- Jobs information surprises amid slowing economic system
- SCOTUS to weigh ban on transgender faculty athletes
- Netanyahu seeks approval enhance from Iran strikes
President Trump says the mammoth invoice he’ll signal tonight on the White Home will result in America’s “golden age.” It’s a boast the Republican Get together hopes it will probably efficiently pitch to voters throughout subsequent 12 months’s elections.
“It’s going to make this nation right into a rocket ship,” Trump predicted as he left Washington to go to an occasion in Des Moines on Thursday. “It’s going to be actually nice.”
The Home on Thursday narrowly authorised a Senate-passed “massive, lovely invoice” by 218 to 214 votes, with two Republicans voting “no” together with each Democrat. After arm-twisting and cajoling lawmakers in a single day, Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) hailed what’s more likely to be the most significant piece of legislation enacted in the course of the president’s second time period.
It lurched to the end line after weeks of close to revolt among the many GOP conservatives, who complained there have been inadequate spending cuts, and moderates who argued, at the very least initially, that it was a political mistake to chop Medicaid spending and federal meals help to offset misplaced revenues from prolonged tax cuts.
Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), a deficit hawk who has clashed with Trump, broke from his occasion to vote “no” on Thursday. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.) additionally voted in opposition to the measure on final passage.
Projected annual deficits and a rise of $5 trillion within the nation’s borrowing authority stirred howls of protest amongst some fiscal conservatives. Johnson may forfeit solely three GOP votes and wound up squeaking by on Thursday. Senators had been cut up 50-50; it took a tie breaking vote by Vice President Vance to move the invoice.
Trump used a mixture of vinegar and honey to win over skeptics. At almost each main juncture, Trump labored to shut the deal, successful members over and sporting them down, typically with out making concessions or altering his technique.
The Speaker and Senate Majority Chief John Thune (R-S.D.) exited the legislative marathon as winners. Reasonable Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) held out for sweeteners for her state throughout what she described as an “agonizing” decision to again the megabill after putting offers with Thune.
However latest nationwide polls recommend the public is wary of Trump’s legislative method. The White Home and Republicans in Congress say they’ve ample time to promote the brand new regulation to constituents. Medicaid and meals stamp reductions, for instance, primarily take impact in 2027, after subsequent 12 months’s midterm elections.
Democrats argue that tens of millions of People — from kids to seniors, and in purple and blue states — will probably be shortchanged by a Trump method that nonpartisan and think tank studies recommend will present the best advantages to companies and rich people.
Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) predicted that for a lot of households, “well being care prices will go up, our emergency room wait occasions will go down and our nation as a complete will probably be sicker, hungrier and fewer well-off because of this invoice.”
Democrats, together with Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries (N.Y.), blasted their Republican colleagues this week. Jeffries on Thursday set a brand new Home file of 8 hours and 44 minutes throughout a flooring speech that enumerated what he described as deficiencies and pitfalls strung collectively as a Trump agenda.
Most People probably missed Jeffries’ speech forward of a busy vacation weekend. However Rep. David Valadao (R-Calif.), seen as susceptible for reelection in a blue-state district with a big inhabitants of Medicaid recipients, might have paid consideration when Jeffries reminded his viewers that the lawmaker 11 days in the past vowed to oppose “dangerous cuts to Medicaid” earlier than voting Thursday to ship the laws to Trump’s desk.
“It was not a simple resolution for me,” Valadao wrote hours later.
“This one massive ugly Republican invoice has put a goal on their again,” Jeffries mentioned.
Axios: Inside Jeffries’ resolution to filibuster.
Democrats managed to change nothing in regards to the laws besides maybe its “One Huge Lovely Invoice Act” title, which nonetheless stays its colloquial identification. Elon Musk, the tech billionaire and former head of the Division of Authorities Effectivity, didn’t have a lot of an impression on the laws, both.
Musk, who broke with Trump within the spring, went on the offensive in opposition to the megabill, criticizing “each member of Congress who campaigned on decreasing authorities spending after which instantly voted for the largest debt improve in historical past.” He predicted, “They are going to lose their major subsequent 12 months whether it is the very last thing I do on this Earth.”
Democrats, who’re trying to find intraparty gravity to provide them a raise, vow to craft campaign ads and maintain rallies quoting Republican senators who denounced the main points of Trump’s megabill — before voting “yes.”
Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), who was a “no” vote, together with Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), who introduced every week in the past that he gained’t search reelection, and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), who drew the road at elevating the debt restrict by trillions of {dollars} and sidestepping more than $36 trillion in national debt.
“There’s going to be some highly effective advertisements,” mentioned Senate Minority Chief Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) from the Senate flooring whereas recounting what he mentioned had been real-world experiences shared by constituents.
“‘My daughter had most cancers. She was doing positive. Effectively, swiftly, her well being care was blown up,’” he mentioned. “‘I labored at this rural hospital for 30 years. I put my coronary heart into it as a result of I needed to assist folks. I used to be fired.’ Stuff like that’s going to actually matter.”
Trump, throughout a rally Thursday on the Iowa Fairgrounds, instructed supporters his occasion will goal Democratic candidates for voting “no” on the “massive, lovely invoice.”
“Not one Democrat voted for us,” he mentioned. “I feel we use it within the marketing campaign that’s developing — the midterms — as a result of we’ve bought to beat them. The entire issues that we’ve given and so they wouldn’t vote, solely as a result of they hate Trump. However I hate them, too, you recognize that?” he added to cheers from his viewers. “I actually do. I hate them. I can’t stand them as a result of I actually consider they hate our nation.”
The Hill: 5 takeaways from the Home- and Senate-passed tax and spending bundle.
NEWS YOU CAN USE: The “massive, lovely invoice” is very large. The laws spans 887 pages, however The Hill’s team breaks down a very powerful cuts and applications.
What takes impact when? Tax cuts begin now; program cuts are coming later. Here’s a timeline of provisions within the megabill.
Medicaid cuts are coming. The invoice will make sweeping changes to well being care, leaving tens of millions with out medical health insurance and threatening rural hospitals. Right here’s who will be most affected.
Tax cuts: Here’s a breakdown of the massive tax provisions which might be the megabill’s GOP centerpiece. Many taxpayers, relying on family revenue, can continue to benefit from the array of particular person revenue tax cuts from the 2017 Trump tax bundle which might be set to run out at 12 months’s finish.
However be careful: Trump mentioned the megabill will eradicate taxes on Social Safety. It does not. The tax invoice does embody a $6,000 “senior deduction.” See if you qualify.
Clear vitality and synthetic intelligence: The invoice curbs billions of dollars in spending for clear vitality, leading to elevated costs for dwelling solar energy, vitality effectivity and different inexperienced applied sciences.
Forward of sending the invoice to the Home, senators voted to remove a provision barring states from regulating AI.
SMART TAKE with NewsNation’s BLAKE BURMAN
Whereas the president and Republican leaders cheered the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s passing, some finances hawks inside the occasion wished the invoice had gone additional to chop the deficit. A type of was Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R-Ind.), who known as elements of the invoice “unacceptable” earlier within the week, however finally voted “sure.”
“We’re going to must rein in spending. We’re going to must make reforms,” Stutzman instructed me after the invoice’s passing. “Tariffs is a part of it, so it’s going to be a multifaceted resolution.”
Stutzman mentioned he ultimately voted yes for the invoice’s tax coverage and border funding. One more reason: the Golden Dome, as his district probably stands to learn from the $25 billion outlay. A reminder that for all of the conversations involving the important thing themes you examine in nationwide headlines, members needed to weigh political philosophies in opposition to native impacts.
Burman hosts “The Hill” weeknights, 6p/5c on NewsNation.
3 THINGS TO KNOW TODAY
▪ CEOs have gotten extra candid whereas projecting white-collar jobs that will be replaced by AI.
▪ The Smithsonian’s Nationwide Air and Area Museum will lose its show of Area Shuttle Discovery to the Johnson Area Middle in Houston. The shuttle shuffle is tucked into the “big, beautiful bill” Trump will signal tonight.
▪ Vance, as Republican Get together finance chair, is picking up the pace of his summer fundraising. He’ll be in San Diego on Monday and in sizzling spots in Massachusetts and Wyoming later this month.
LEADING THE DAY
© The Related Press | Nam Y. Huh
📊 ECONOMY: The unemployment charge in June dropped a notch to 4.1 % from 4.2 % in Could, and the economic system added 147,000 jobs final month, stunning many analysts who mentioned Thursday they’d anticipated indicators of a extra quickly weakening labor sector.
The sturdy authorities information erased market forecasts of potential Federal Reserve rate of interest cuts this month and maybe in September, analysts instructed information retailers throughout interviews.
“The stable June jobs report confirms that the labor market stays resolute and slams the door shut on a July charge minimize,” Jeffrey Schulze, head of financial and market technique at ClearBridge Investments, told CNBC.
However analysts insist June’s upbeat numbers didn’t counter indications of a slowing economic system during which employees want longer durations to seek out new positions and huge firms are hesitant to make commitments amid tariff and geopolitical uncertainties.
“The headline job features and stunning dip in unemployment are undoubtedly excellent news, however for job seekers exterior of healthcare & social help, native authorities, and public schooling, the features will probably ring hole,” wrote Cory Stahle, economist at Certainly Hiring Lab.
A lot of Trump’s proposed high tariffs on imported goods are on pause till July 9. The administration beforehand mentioned it might announce commerce pacts after enactment of the GOP’s “massive, lovely invoice.” Economists worry that tariffs may act as a drag on progress and ignite one other bout of inflation.
The administration plans to send letters to trading partners to communicate tariff rates, Trump instructed reporters early right this moment. He mentioned about “10 or 12” letters can be despatched right this moment, adopted by extra letters over the “subsequent few days.”
The U.S. economic system has demonstrated resilience amid Trump’s commerce insurance policies and seesawing levy bulletins, which have drastically raised American import tax charges and uncertainty about the way forward for commerce.
The Labor Division reported Thursday that jobless claims for the week ending June 28 fell by 4,000 to 233,000, lower than the 241,000 that analysts forecast. Functions for unemployment support are thought of a proxy for layoffs.
▪ The Hill: Layoffs within the U.S. attain their highest ranges since 2020.
▪ The New York Times: How well being care remade the U.S. economic system: Drugs is now the nation’s largest employer.
▪ The Washington Post: Why some worry U.S. information on the economic system is dropping its integrity.
🎒 SCHOOLS AND SUMMER: The Trump administration is withholding more than $6 billion in federal cash for after-school and summer season applications, throwing organizations and colleges into chaos.
“It’s catastrophic,” Jodi Grant, government director of the Afterschool Alliance, told The New York Times. She estimated that the roughly $1.3 billion federal {dollars} for after-school and summer-school applications help 1.4 million college students, principally these of decrease revenue. They make up about 20 % of all college students in after-school applications nationally.
WHERE AND WHEN
- Glad JULY 4!! 🎆
- The president returned to the White Home from Iowa earlier than 1 a.m. He plans to signal the “Huge Lovely Invoice Act” into regulation at 5 p.m. EDT. The president and first woman Melania Trump will host a navy household picnic on the South Garden at 5 p.m. to mark the Independence Day vacation and can attend a South Garden celebration occasion at 9 p.m., additionally on the South Garden. Trump and the primary woman will depart the White Home at 9:45 p.m. for his or her property at Bedminster, N.J., arriving at 11:30 p.m. The president is scheduled to return to the White Home on Sunday.
- The Home convenes Monday at 10 a.m.
- The Senate convenes Monday for a professional forma session at 10:15 a.m.
ZOOM IN
© The Related Press | Jae C. Hong
SUPREME COURT: The Supreme Court docket agreed Thursday to resolve whether or not states can ban transgender athletes from competing on women’ and ladies’s faculty sports activities groups. The justices mentioned they might hear appeals from Republican leaders in Idaho and West Virginia defending their state bans. A choice is anticipated by subsequent summer season.
The transfer sets up another major dispute over transgender rights earlier than the conservative-majority courtroom that not too long ago upheld Tennessee’s ban on gender-affirming take care of minors.
The College of Pennsylvania’s resolution this week to signal a decision settlement with the Trump administration barring transgender women from its girls’s sports activities groups alerts different colleges going through disciplinary motion from the White Home could also be ready to take comparable steps.
▪ CBS News: The Trump administration’s “divide and conquer” method to LGBTQ rights.
▪ NBC News: The Supreme Court docket on Thursday allowed Trump to maneuver forward with plans to ship eight convicted criminals to South Sudan.
▪ Politico: The Supreme Court docket will overview the scope of states’ immunity after a pair of bus accidents.
HOLIDAY TRAVEL: 🚗✈️ Planes, trains and cars! A record-breaking 72.2 million persons are anticipated to journey over the Independence Day interval stretching from Saturday, June 28, to Sunday, July 6, in accordance with estimates from AAA — a 2.4 % soar from final 12 months.
“AAA is seeing sturdy demand for highway journeys and air journey over Independence Day week,” mentioned Stacey Barber, vice chairman of AAA Journey. “With the vacation falling on a Friday, vacationers have the choice of constructing it a protracted weekend or taking your complete week to make recollections with household and associates.”
Meaning lengthy traces, busy roads and wait occasions. Whether or not you are driving or flying, here are travel tips for the busy Fourth of July weekend.
▪ Yahoo News: Right here’s the place storms, site visitors and crowds are anticipated to hit hardest.
▪ Reuters: In France, an air site visitors controllers’ walkout disrupts early summer season journey.
🌀 The Atlantic hurricane season may get its third named storm simply in time for the July 4 weekend. No matter whether or not this technique will get a reputation, it’s already delivering drenching rain, soaking the soil and elevating the flood danger in Florida. Blustery winds, heavy rain and rip currents may hit the Sunshine State, coastal Georgia and the Carolinas into the vacation weekend.
▪ Weather: From sweltering temperatures and summer season thunderstorms to an upward swing in hurricane season, July could be a busy month for climate. Here is what you may anticipate.
ELSEWHERE
© The Related Press | Ronen Zvulun, Reuters
ISRAEL: After 18 months of struggle in Gaza and weeks of strikes in opposition to Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is eyeing one other time period in workplace, hoping the assaults on Tehran will enhance his standing amongst Israelis and he can additional delay a looming corruption trial. The prime minister will visit Trump at the White House subsequent week, the place the president is pushing for a 60-day ceasefire deal that Israeli officers have mentioned they help.
Requested whether or not Hamas has agreed to the battery-powered cars framework for a ceasefire and hostage deal, Trump told reporters Thursday: “We’ll see what occurs… We’ll know within the subsequent 24 hours.”
Netanyahu’s authorities was underneath harsh criticism from inside Israel for failing to supply a ceasefire and hostage launch take care of Hamas in Gaza. However the barrage in opposition to Tehran’s nuclear services briefly raised public confidence within the prime minister. Nonetheless, his approval ratings remain low. Simply 40 % of the general public has belief in Netanyahu, in accordance with a survey printed Wednesday by the Israel Democracy Institute.
“Total, now we have not seen substantial shifts in public opinion concerning Prime Minister Netanyahu because of the struggle with Iran,” mentioned Tamar Hermann, director of IDI’s Viterbi Household Middle for Public Opinion and Coverage Analysis. “Whereas help for the struggle with Iran was excessive throughout the board, this and different polling information recommend the prime minister stays fashionable amongst his base of supporters, and he didn’t handle to vary the opinions of those that oppose him.”
▪ Foreign Policy: Can Netanyahu safe a second time period?
▪ BBC: Netanyahu hopes for a lift from Iran battle — however do Israelis nonetheless belief him?
▪ CNN: Greater than 80 Palestinians had been killed throughout Gaza on Thursday as Israel intensified its strikes.
▪ Reuters: The U.S. imposed sanctions on Thursday in opposition to a community that smuggles Iranian oil disguised as Iraqi oil, and on a Hezbollah-controlled monetary establishment.
UKRAINE: The Pentagon’s resolution to halt some weapons shipments to Ukraine blindsided many, together with members of Congress, State Division officers and key European allies, Politico reports. The shock transfer has fueled concern and frustration, together with amongst prime Republicans, that one senior Pentagon official appeared to carry outsized affect over the choice.
“Ukraine has by no means requested America to ship within the 82nd airborne; they’ve requested for the weapons to defend their homeland and other people from Russia assaults,” former Trump Secretary of State Mike Pompeo mentioned Wednesday in a submit on the social platform X. “Letting Russia win this struggle can be [an] unmitigated catastrophe for the American folks and our safety world wide.”
Trump on Thursday downplayed the impact of the munitions pause.
“We’re giving weapons… and we’re working with them and attempting to assist them,” he mentioned, including “now we have to ensure now we have sufficient for ourselves.”
The president additionally spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin, however mentioned he made “no progress” in the course of the name on makes an attempt to dealer a ceasefire in Ukraine. Moscow, in the meantime, hammered Kyiv within the largest missile and drone barrage since struggle in Ukraine started.
“We had a name. It was a reasonably lengthy name. Talked about a variety of issues, together with Iran,” Trump instructed reporters as he departed for Iowa. “And we additionally talked about, as you recognize, the struggle with Ukraine, and I’m not blissful about that.”
Trump confirmed he will probably be talking right this moment with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
▪ The Wall Street Journal: Putin plots a summer season of relentless assaults on Ukraine.
▪ The Hill: Former President Biden claimed throughout an occasion in San Diego this week that world leaders and U.S. lawmakers have urged him to remain concerned in politics and have sought his recommendation since he left the White Home in January.
▪ France24: The U.S. and Colombia recalled their prime diplomats Thursday amid escalating tensions, linked to an alleged plot in opposition to Colombia’s leftist president.
OPINION
■ Congress simply pushed the U.S. towards a debt disaster. The Fed can’t save us, by The Washington Post editorial board.
■ A “massive lovely” pro-growth agenda constructed for Fundamental Avenue, not Wall Avenue, by Rep. Erin Houchin (R-Ind.), opinion contributor, The Hill.
THE CLOSER
© The Related Press | Terry Chea
And eventually … 👏👏👏 Congratulations to this week’s Morning Report Quiz winners! With summer season in thoughts, we puzzled over some nationwide parks.
🧩 Right here’s who went 4/4: Richard E. Baznik, Stan Wasser, Lynn Gardner, Jess A. Elger, Sol Brotman, Linda L. Discipline, Jonathan Simon, Jenessa Wagner, Hadden J. Carlberg, Ned Sauthoff, Brent Tracy, Chuck Olinger, Michael Sutton, Brian Hogan, Ellie Hansen, Peter Sprofera, Sue Rarus, Invoice Bennett, Lou Tisler, Alan Johnson, Chuck Schoenenberger, George Alfano, John Van Santen, Mark Roeddiger, Steve Comer, Robert Bradley, Steve James, Kirkland Hendrickson, Loren Hegge, Savannah Petracca, Carmine Petracca, Rick Schmidtke and Patrick Clark.
Yellowstone is the nation’s first nationwide park, established in 1872.
The US has 63 nationwide parks.
Alaska is dwelling to seven of the ten largest nationwide parks.
The world’s largest tree, often known as “Basic Sherman,” towers into the sky in Sequoia Nationwide Park.