The unpredictability of day-to-day MLB motion brings some nice alternative to again underdogs in MLB betting. The Saturday MLB schedule options some intriguing choices, together with the Yankees, who’re slight -101 underdogs to the Phillies in a standalone afternoon matchup at 1:05 p.m. ET. SportsLine’s mannequin offers the Yankees the slight edge, making New York the worth aspect on this potential World Collection preview.
The mannequin can be excessive on two greater underdogs because it likes the Nationals at +190 towards the Twins and San Diego at +130 towards the Cardinals. Earlier than making any MLB picks or constructing any MLB parlays, you will need to see the MLB predictions and betting recommendation from SportsLine’s confirmed pc simulation mannequin. Wager on each MLB sport at DraftKings Sportsbook, the place you’ll be able to get $150 in bonus bets instantly with the unfortunate event DraftKings promo code:
The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each MLB sport 10,000 instances. It entered Week 17 of the 2025 MLB season 46-43 on top-rated MLB picks. It has excelled making house run prop picks this season, returning greater than 40 models of revenue. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps may have seen robust returns. Additionally see the mannequin’s picks for Royals vs. Guardians.
The mannequin has damaged down the MLB betting odds for Monday and simply revealed its high MLB longshot picks. Combining the mannequin’s three picks into an MLB parlay at BetMGM Sportsbook would end in a payout of +1227 (danger $100 to win $1,227). New customers may even benefit from the BetMGM bonus code providing as much as $1,500 in bonus bets if their first wager loses. Click here to claim the offer.
Listed below are its finest longshot bets for the MLB slate on Friday
- Yankees cash line vs. Phillies (-101)
- Nationals cash line vs. Twins (+190)
- Padres cash line vs. Cardinals (+130)
- Mix these picks for a shot at a +1227 payout (odds topic to alter). Bet now at BetMGM, the place you’ll be able to rise up to $1,500 in bonus bets when you do not win.
Yankees cash line vs. Phillies (-101)
It is a nice bounce-back alternative for the Yankees after they misplaced 12-5 on Friday. Yankees starter Marcus Stroman has a 2.45 ERA over his previous two begins and Philly starter Ranger Suarez gave up six runs final day out towards the Angels. The mannequin has New York successful 53% of the time, making it a price on this underdog spot. See more Yankees-Phillies picks here.
Nationals money line vs. Twins (+190)
Washington is one of the biggest underdogs on the MLB odds board for Saturday, but the model has just a 0.1 run difference between these teams after Minnesota won a tight 1-0 contest in the series opener. The Twins have been a bad team to back this season, returning -1259 on the money line. They are also in the red (-185) for money-line backers when when Joe Ryan starts this season. The Nats win 46% of the time, making the +190 a steal, according to the model’s results.
Padres money line vs. Cardinals (+130)
San Diego has lost four straight, including the first two games in this series against the Cardinals. Starter Randy Vasquez, however, has been effective for the Padres this season with a 3.73 ERA. SportsLine’s model is calling for a big day at the plate for both Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill in a game that comes down to just 0.3 runs. The Padres win 43% of the time, making them a strong underdog pick.
Want more MLB picks for today?
You’ve seen some of the model’s MLB best longshot bets for Saturday. Now, get run line, total and money-line picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
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You can also see today’s top MLB picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who’s on a sizzling 63-53-1 roll on his last 117 MLB picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up nearly 16 units.