2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship props, skilled picks, playoff predictions: PGA insider backing Daniel Berger

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The 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs start this week with the primary of three consecutive occasions to find out a champion. First up is the FedEx St. Jude Championship from TPC Southwind in Memphis, TN. Taking part in as a par 70 at just below 7,300 yards, gamers ought to anticipate loads of warmth and humidity which might result in a profitable rating of between -15 and -20 below par.

A discipline of 69 gamers will tee it up this week with solely Masters champion Rory McIlroy skipping this occasion among the many top-70 within the FedExCup Standings. Solely the top-50 will transfer on to subsequent week’s BMW Championship in Maryland. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is a commanding favourite at +280 odds, adopted by Xander Schauffele (+1600), Justin Thomas (+2200), and Tommy Fleetwood (+2500). Defending champion Hideki Matsuyama is +4000 (threat $100 to win $4,000). 

SportsLine golf skilled Eric Cohen is asking for a robust efficiency from Hideki Matsuyama, predicting that the Japanese star hits the Prime Asian guess at +150 odds (threat $100 to win $150). Earlier than locking in every other 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship bets, you may need to see what prop bets Cohen is concentrating on main into the event. Guess on the FedEx St. Jude Championship at DraftKings, the place you may get $200 in bonus bets instantly + $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket with the ad engagement DraftKings promo code:

Cohen, the host of Tuesday’s Early Wedge Greatest Bets Present on SportsLine’s YouTube, accurately recognized Justin Thomas to win the 2025 RBC Heritage (+1800) and Ben Griffin (+4500 w/o Scheffler) to win the 2025 Charles Schwab Problem, in addition to 4 winners final season. together with Aaron Rai at this occasion (+3300 odds).

Anybody who has used the ad engagement sportsbook promos to observe his sports betting picks might have seen huge returns on betting sites. The ad engagement Fanatics Sportsbook promo code presents new customers as much as $1,000 in FanCash. Claim that offer here:

Greatest prop bets for the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship:

  • Prime Asian: Hideki Matsuyama (+150)
  • Prime-10 End (with ties): Daniel Berger (+300)
  • Tommy Fleetwood, Russell Henley & Ludvig Aberg all to End within the Prime 20 (Incl. Ties) (+500)

Prime Asian finisher: Hideki Matsuyama (+150)

I am shocked that the defending champion of this occasion is +150 in a class with Si Woo Kim (+300), Sungjae Im (+320), and Kevin Yu (+360). What am I lacking right here? Kim enters off three straight missed cuts and has misplaced strokes placing to the sphere in eight straight occasions. Im has been significantly unhealthy on strategy, having not gained greater than a stroke in that class since early-March. In truth, he is solely been optimistic along with his irons in two of his final 17 occasions. Just like his countryman Si Woo Kim, Yu hasn’t made a reduce in his final three tournaments plus he is model new to TPC Southwind. With three straight top-20 finishes and now attempting to defend his title at this occasion, Matsuyama is a assured play for me on this Prime Asian class. Matsuyama offers us some worth with this prop at plus-money at DraftKings, the place new customers can bet $5 and get $200 instantly as well as $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket by way of this DraftKings promo code.

Prime-10 (with ties): Daniel Berger (+300)

Although Berger hasn’t been extremely spectacular of late, he is the final word horse for the course at TPC Southwind. In 5 profession begins right here between 2016-2021, Berger’s finishes appear to be this: 1-1-MC-T2-T5. Attributable to accidents, he hasn’t performed right here in 4 years however I anticipate a return to type for the 32-year-old American. The important thing to his success right here is on strategy, the place Berger has gained roughly 29 strokes in these 5 occasions mixed. Equally, he is gained on strategy in 11 of his final 12 occasions although his putter has been a disappointment since April. Sitting at thirtieth within the present FedEx Cup Standings, he must do work to safe himself a spot within the TOUR Championship in two weeks. I anticipate Berger to get it accomplished this week with one other excessive end at a course the place he thrives. bet365 Sportsbook presents new customers the possibility to guess $5 and get $150 immediately by way of this bet365 bonus code:

Tommy Fleetwood, Russell Henley & Ludvig Aberg all to End within the Prime 20 (Incl. Ties) (+500)

Final week, my top-20 combo prop got here by means of so let’s give it one other do that week. Tommy Fleetwood has completed contained in the top-20 in 10 of 17 worldwide occasions this season plus two of them the place he completed T21. The Englishman completed T3 right here two years in the past and would’ve been larger than T22 final yr if not for dropping almost six strokes placing. Ludvig Aberg was T40 right here final yr however enters in higher type, having posted three top-20s in his final 4 non-major tournaments. I might see him making a large enchancment this season, particularly if his ball hanging continues to thrive for the seventh straight occasion. Russell Henley hasn’t performed a lot during the last month, however enters this week with 4 straight top-10 finishes. The American was T6 right here in 2023. In contrast to a typical PGA Tour occasion, there are solely 69 gamers within the discipline so these three will solely half to beat about 2/3 of them to complete within the top-20 with ties. I discovered this top-20 combo prop within the Tourney Specials part at FanDuel Sportsbook, which is providing new customers the possibility to guess $5 and get $150 if their first guess wins with the ad engagement FanDuel Sportsbook promo code:

Extra 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

You have seen Cohen’s high props for this week’s occasion. Now, see the FedEx St. Jude Championship leaderboard, together with forecasted finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, and Tommy Fleetwood. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, together with final week’s Open Championship, the final 4 Masters, the previous two PGA Championships, and three majors in 2024 and 2025.

You can even view skilled recommendation earlier than locking in your PGA Tour picks. Cohen has additionally constructed a 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship parlay that might pay almost $1.1 million on a $10 guess. Check it out here and view more PGA Tour advice at SportsLine.





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