The AFC North has been round since 2002, and no crew has been capable of take house the division crown in three consecutive seasons. The Baltimore Ravens are the AFC North favorites forward of the 2025-26 marketing campaign, so will they make division historical past? Or will the Cincinnati Bengals, Pittsburgh Steelers or Cleveland Browns play spoiler? For all of my each day greatest bets, go to the Inside the Lines blog.
Ravens Favored and a Nice Guess for First AFC North Three-Peat
Latest publications rank the Ravens as having essentially the most proficient roster within the league. Their query marks are nitpicks. Can Tyler Loop change Justin Tucker? Possibly not peak Justin Tucker, however in all probability 2024 Justin Tucker. In a latest stadium follow, Loop was 11-11, together with a 60-yarder that will have been good from 67, so we all know he at the least has the leg power to maneuver from enjoying at Arizona to the cold-weather AFC North.
The Ravens do not have famous person names at edge rusher, however they’ve two double-digit sack artists from final season (Odafe Oweh with 20 extra kilos of muscle and Kyle Van Noy) and drafted Mike Green, who has actually flashed in coaching camp. Consensus draft grades gave the Ravens an A for taking Malaki Starks. Most would have given them an A for taking Mike Inexperienced if Inexperienced didn’t have off-field considerations. As an alternative, they obtained him with their late second-round decide.
OUTCOME | BALTIMORE | CINCINNATI | PITTSBURGH | CLEVELAND |
MISS PLAYOFFS | +420, 19.2% | 5.3% | +115, 46.5% | 57.6% | -165, 62.3% | 46.6% | -1200, 92.3% | 98.4% |
LOSE WC ROUND | +300, 25% | 19.6% | +260, 27.8% | 22.6% | +350, 22.2% | 27% | +1500, 6.3% | 1.3% |
LOSE DIV ROUND | +290, 25.6% | 23.1% | +460, 17.9% | 12.5% | +700, 12.5% | 15.8% | +3700, 2.6% | 0.3% |
LOSE AFC CHAMP | +480, 17.2% | 21.3% | +1000, 9.1% | 4.4% | +1600, 5.9% | 6.5% | +11000, 0.9% | 0% |
LOSE SUPER BOWL | +900, 10% | 12.7% | +2200, 4.3% | 1.8% | +3500, 2.8% | 2.4% | +22000, 0.5% | 0% |
SUPER BOWL CHAMP | +650, 13.3% | 18% | +2200, 4.3% | 1.1% | +4200, 2.3% | 1.7% | +37000, 0.3% | 0% |
Odds, Odds Implied % | Simulation % Daring Signifies Mannequin Betting Worth |
I’m the world’s largest Ravens fan, but additionally a realist and do not have a look at my crew by rose-colored glasses.
I am snug betting on them to each lose the AFC Championship as a result of they play their worst sport of the 12 months within the largest second (which is their MO) AND taking them to win the Tremendous Bowl as they lastly break by just like the ’91 Jordan Bulls. The most effective Tremendous Bowl worth as I publish is Ravens +700 on Caesars which you will wish to act on now as a result of bet365 has all of them the best way all the way down to +600 (+650 consensus). Get 10 profit boosts on Caesars as a new user when you sign up here:
The chances make the Bengals the 2nd greatest crew within the division, however the sims have them third, once more. The issues that plagued them final 12 months (sluggish begin, dangerous protection, dangerous move safety, lack of operating) aren’t slated to enhance given the problems with Trey Hendrickson and first-round decide Shemar Stewart. They might have taken an offensive lineman at that spot. They’ve the identical undersized Chase Brown as their solely “confirmed” RB.
The +125 on DraftKings to Miss the Playoffs (implies 44%) just isn’t solely higher than the consensus +115, it’s a lot better than the -130 our mannequin would value it at. DraftKings is providing new customers over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and $200 in bonus bets here:
The Steelers have been capable of come to phrases with TJ Watt. Aaron Rodgers, with out the scrambling skill he had in his prime, is just too predictable and hittable. He will not be an actual risk within the playoffs. However he is actually ok to satisfy the assure that Mike Tomlin will NOT have a shedding season. You will get Steelers over 8.5 wins at +100 on each FanDuel and bet365 for the time being.
They’re taking the well-known saying that if “you assume you may have two good quarterbacks, it means you may have none” to a ridiculous subsequent degree with now 5 potential starters: Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, Dillon Gabriel, Shedeur Sanders, and now even Tyler Huntley. They’ve three former division opponents and two rookies.
The -1200 is just too steep to wager on them to overlook the playoffs regardless that the mannequin has loads of worth. As an alternative, I like them to win below 5.5 video games at -140 on DraftKings. They’re averaging 4.8 wins per simulation with only a 34% likelihood of going over. The mannequin solely favors them in a single sport (54% vs. the Titans at house) and has them profitable over 40% in only one different sport (42% at New England).