The AFC West despatched three groups to the postseason a 12 months in the past, headlined by the back-to-back Tremendous Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs gained 15 video games in 2024 en path to a 3rd straight Tremendous Bowl look, however couldn’t make a historic three-peat occur in opposition to the Eagles. Philadelphia dominated Kansas Metropolis in a manner which makes many imagine the most effective days for this staff is likely to be behind them. The Chargers and Broncos ought to get higher after tasting early success after main adjustments. L.A. made the playoffs in Jim Harbaugh’s first season, whereas Denver was in a position to do the identical with rookie quarterback Bo Nix. The Raiders made a change at head coach and quarterback this offseason, bringing in Pete Carroll and Geno Smith to reunite the duo from Seattle. Las Vegas could possibly be in play to enhance, which makes the duty of getting out of the AFC West that a lot tougher for Kansas Metropolis. So how must you wager the Chiefs in the case of the NFL odds?
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Chiefs are Barely Above 50% to Win the Division… Once more
You’d assume a staff that gained 15 video games, made the Tremendous Bowl three straight seasons, gained the division 9 straight occasions and will get its greatest receiver again from harm can be higher than -105 to win the division. That is how susceptible the Chiefs are. They deserve all of the reward on the earth for having this a lot success and their capability to win shut video games and execute within the clutch. They’re susceptible as a result of they merely usually are not that dominant and consequently discover themselves in far more shut, tight conditions than they need to be in.
Cats can keep away from demise in miraculous methods however they solely have 9 lives.
| OUTCOME | KANSAS CITY | LA CHARGERS | DENVER | LAS VEGAS |
| MISS PLAYOFFS | +270, 27% | 22.7% | +105, 48.8% | 30.3% | -105, 51.2% | 43.4% | -400, 80% | 84.8% |
| LOSE WC ROUND | +290, 25.6% | 31.4% | +280, 26.3% | 32% | +280, 26.3% | 26.7% | +600, 14.3% | 11% |
| LOSE DIV ROUND | +320, 23.8% | 24.6% | +470, 17.5% | 21.6% | +500, 16.7% | 17.9% | +1400, 6.7% | 3.2% |
| LOSE AFC CHAMP | +550, 15.4% | 12.5% | +1000, 9.1% | 10.1% | +1100, 8.3% | 7.4% | +3500, 2.8% | 0.7% |
| LOSE SUPER BOWL | +1000, 9.1% | 4.6% | +2300, 4.2% | 3.6% | +2600, 3.7% | 2.5% | +10000, 1% | 0.2% |
| SUPER BOWL CHAMP | +850, 10.5% | 4.2% | +2300, 4.2% | 2.4% | +2700, 3.6% | 2.1% | +11000, 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Odds, Odds Implied % | Simulation % Daring Signifies Mannequin Betting Worth | ||||
Their +59 level differential final season was third in their very own division. Denver practically doubled them up at +114. The beating they took in opposition to the Eagles within the Tremendous Bowl goes to vary how they play. They are going to need Patrick Mahomes to return to being the 5,000-yard, 40-touchdown participant he was. The most effective wager on the board above can be for them to lose within the Wild Card spherical at +290 on FanDuel. The competitors within the division makes it an actual risk that they do not have home-field benefit on this spherical. Get the latest Bet365 promo here:
Justin Herbert skeptics have each proper to criticize him for his whole lack of playoff success however the Chargers in Jim Harbaugh’s second 12 months are a harmful common season staff. After a month of getting used to the brand new system, Herbert took off by way of his passing stats. Like Mahomes, he also needs to revert again to being the prolific passer. L.A. gained 11 video games with a +5.9 level differential per recreation. There is no such thing as a motive to assume that can get marginally worse which is why I just like the Chargers to win Over 9.5 video games at -110 on bet365. Guess it on DraftKings, the place new customers get over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket and $200 in bonus bets:
The mannequin is excessive on the Broncos as effectively. Nix dominated statistically within the second half of the season. The unhealthy working recreation could possibly be elite with rookie RJ Harvey and the tremendous proficient however oft-injured JK Dobbins. Pat Surtain was the uncommon cornerback who gained Defensive Participant of the Yr. The strains are tight so there is not a bunch of worth. The most effective is for Broncos to make the playoffs at -118 on FanDuel, the place new customers get $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager: