Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Rebounds Towards $115K as ETF Flows Return, however Merchants Nonetheless Value Tail Danger

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Good Morning, Asia. Here is what’s making information within the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a every day abstract of high tales throughout U.S. hours and an outline of market strikes and evaluation. For an in depth overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.
As East Asia begins its buying and selling day, bitcoin (BTC) is altering arms at simply over $115K, staging a modest rebound from last week’s selloff that noticed over $1 billion in leveraged longs liquidated and BTC briefly check $113K.

The bounce comes amid indicators of stabilization in institutional flows, with Bitwise reporting $18.74 million in web inflows, a possible reversal after one of many largest ETF outflow days on record final Friday.

The environment correction, which marked BTC’s third straight Friday selloff, was pushed by a hawkish macro cocktail: weak U.S. jobs information and a contemporary wave of tariffs from Washington, triggering a broader risk-off temper in each equities and crypto. Altcoins bore the brunt of the transfer, with SOL falling almost 20% on the week and ETH dropping near 10%.

But regardless of the drop, QCP Capital stays cautiously optimistic.

“The broader structural setup stays intact,” the agency wrote in a Monday be aware, citing BTC’s highest-ever month-to-month shut in July.

QCP views the selloff as a leverage flush reasonably than a pattern reversal, pointing to historic post-rally shakeouts that cleared the trail for renewed accumulation.

That mentioned, market hedging conduct suggests traders aren’t ruling out deeper draw back. On Polymarket, merchants at the moment assign a 49% likelihood that BTC dips beneath $100,000 earlier than the top of 2025 — up 2 proportion factors from the day prior.

The pricing displays a market that’s nonetheless on edge, with draw back tail danger priced in regardless of supportive long-term fundamentals resembling regulatory readability, rising stablecoin adoption, and tokenization initiatives.

The subsequent catalyst might come through the Asia buying and selling day as U.S. issuers report flows, which generally occurs by mid-day Hong Kong time.

If ETF inflows proceed and implied volatility begins to compress, it might present the affirmation wanted for the market to embrace the buy-the-dip narrative and shake off the macro jitters which have stored it caught in impartial.

(CoinDesk)

Market Movers:

BTC: Bitcoin is buying and selling again above $115,000, signaling early indicators of market stabilization.

ETH: Ether is holding regular round $3,700, with Polymarket merchants displaying confidence it should break above $4,000 someday in August.

Gold: Gold prolonged its rally for a 3rd session on Monday, rising to a two-week excessive as delicate U.S. financial information boosted expectations of a September Fed fee reduce, with CME merchants now pricing in an 86% probability of that taking place.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets opened larger after U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled plans to sharply enhance tariffs on Indian exports. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.54% on the open.

S&P 500: Shares rebounded Monday, with the S&P 500 rising 1.47% to six,329.94, snapping a four-day dropping streak and marking its greatest session since Might.

Elsewhere in Crypto:



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