Professional picks, greatest bets: Can Hill finish his dropping streak at UFC Battle Evening?

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There shall be loads of MMA motion with the UFC and the PFL internet hosting battle playing cards this week.

On Saturday, the UFC travels to Baku, Azerbaijan, for UFC Battle Evening. Gentle heavyweights Jamahal Hill and Khalil Rountree Jr. will conflict in the principle occasion (3 p.m. on ABC/ESPN+; prelims at midday on ESPN/ESPN+).

Hill, a former champion and ESPN’s No. 5-ranked mild heavyweight, enters the battle having misplaced by way of knockout in his final two Octagon appearances. Rountree, ranked simply behind Hill, misplaced to Alex Pereira in a problem for the championship this previous October.

On Friday, the PFL World Event semifinals proceed, as lightweights, bantamweights and girls’s flyweights look to assert their spots within the championship spherical.

MMA veteran and former UFC fighter Kevin Lee will make his PFL debut in opposition to Gadzhi Rabadanov in the principle occasion, and former Bellator champion Liz Carmouche takes on Elora Dana within the co-main occasion.

Brett Okamoto spoke to former UFC fighters Din Thomas and Anthony Smith to get their UFC fundamental occasion predictions. ESPN betting professional Ian Parker provides perception and evaluation on the battle evening in Baku and intriguing bets from the PFL semifinals.


Gentle heavyweight: Jamahal Hill vs. Khalil Rountree

Jamahal Hill lives and breathes on X components. I’ve spent a variety of time with Hill, and he’s actually distinctive. If I had to decide on between who I might relatively spar — Hill or Rountree — it might be Rountree as a result of he is acquainted. Every thing Khalil does seems prefer it’s presupposed to. It is technically excellent. However in a manner, that is simpler to take care of as a result of when it seems so excellent, a minimum of it is predictable. Jamahal has actually good eyes and, although he isn’t the extra technically sound striker, I feel he is harder to take care of. — Anthony Smith

Hill has had such unhealthy luck the final couple of years with accidents and layoffs. He wants a battle like this to show his luck round, and I feel Rountree outperformed himself in his final battle. He gave the best possible doable model of himself in opposition to Pereira, and I feel his efficiency this time shall be a contact much less convincing, and Hill will catch Rountree. — Din Thomas

Betting evaluation

Odds correct as of June 19. Go to ESPN BET for essentially the most up-to-date UFC Fight Night odds and PFL semifinals odds.

Parker: Rountree to win (-110). Regardless of dropping in his first shot at a UFC championship, Rountree made a press release. He appeared nice by two rounds, giving the champ all he might deal with till Rountree obtained drained in Spherical 3 then knocked out in Spherical 4. His skill to hold with Pereira so lengthy proved Rountree belongs close to the highest of the division. Hill has misplaced back-to-back fights by knockout, and I would not be stunned if it occurs for a 3rd time right here. Hill is a talented striker, however Rountree a greater one and he’s sooner and carries extra energy. Until Hill can threaten Rountree with grappling, anticipate one other KO/TKO loss right here.


Parker’s greatest bets on the remainder of the cardboard

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Ignacio Bahamondes finishes Manuel Torres early for win in prelims

Ignacio Bahamondes grabs the TKO victory of Manuel Torres within the prelims of UFC 306.

Light-weight: Rafael Fiziev vs. Ignacio Bahamondes

Bahamondes to win (-130). Bahamondes enters this matchup with Fiziev having received every of his final three bouts by first-round end. Fiziev is a good striker, however I consider Bahamondes can match him on the toes. Search for Bahamondes to make use of lateral motion and distance hanging to get the win right here. He additionally has a submission sport if the chance have been to current itself.

Heavyweight: Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev

Blaydes to win (-250). Kuniev, who’s received twice on “Dana White’s Contender Sequence,” is getting a large step up in competitors for his UFC Debut. Though Kuniev is nice on the mat, Blaydes has fought the perfect within the UFC for practically seven years. Until Kuniev catches Blaydes early within the battle, anticipate Blaydes to resist an early onslaught and use his dominant wrestling to get the win.

Light-weight: Tofiq Musayev vs. Myktybek Orolbai

Over 1.5 rounds. This matchup has battle of the evening potential. Orolbai confirmed his sturdiness in his final battle, overcoming early adversity and practically getting a win in opposition to Mateusz Rębecki. Contemplating every of his three UFC bouts has gone over 1.5 rounds, I anticipate the identical right here. Search for Orolbai to make use of his wrestling to remove Musayev’s hanging prowess and run the clock en path to a call or late submission win.


Finest bets on the 2025 PFL semifinals card

Light-weight: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Kevin Lee

Rabadanov to win by KO/TKO. Rabadanov is the most important favourite on the cardboard, and rightfully so. He has been on a tear and now takes on a seasoned veteran in Lee, who’s well-rounded and might compete wherever the battle goes however is probably going previous his prime, and Rabadanov has but to achieve his potential, which is horrifying. To get any worth right here, take Rabandanov to get one other knockout victory to maneuver on to the finals.

Ladies’s flyweight: Liz Carmouche vs. Elora Dana

Carmouche to win inside the space. Coming off a formidable exhibiting, Carmouche seems for one more end in opposition to Dana, an up-and-coming prospect. With Carmouche being so closely favored, both as her moneyline in a parlay or take her to win inside the space. Dana is a strong prospect, however Carmouche has the instruments to complete the battle anyplace.

Light-weight: Mansour Barnaoui vs. Archie Colgan

Colgan to win. Colgan enters the battle trying to preserve his excellent document intact. He’s a dominant wrestler with loads of knockout energy. Barnaoui, who’s primarily a submission specialist, is in a troublesome spot. With such a powerful wrestling sport, Colgan can shut down Barnaoui’s grappling sport. I feel Colgan ought to be a -500 favourite right here, and we’re getting him round -250. Usually, I do not prefer to go wager on strains which can be over -200, however I do not see a world the place Colgan loses this matchup.

Ladies’s flyweight: Ekaterina Shakalova vs. Jena Bishop

Shakalova to win (+105). In case you like Shakalova, you’d higher place that wager quickly, earlier than the percentages slip away. Though she opened as an underdog, I anticipate Shakalova to be the betting favourite when the battle begins. Bishop is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner, and a profitable one. Nevertheless, Shakalova can match her on the bottom, and he or she’ll have the benefit if the battle stays on the toes.



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