There are 15 video games on the MLB schedule this Sunday, and the marquee matchup can be one among baseball’s largest rivalries because the St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs on Sunday Night time Baseball. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s evolution into an MLB All-Star has been one of many driving forces in Chicago scoring the second most runs in baseball. Crow-Armstrong is mired in a 1-for-27 stoop over his final seven video games, however his 29 stolen bases show how massive a risk he could be on the basepaths. His latest struggles on the dish have created a buy-low alternative in case you’re seeking to wager MLB participant props.
The court game MLB odds record Crow-Armstrong to steal a base at +380 on Sunday, and that is one among our prime MLB prop picks. With regards to MLB betting, MLB participant props are an effective way to seek out worth at on-line sports activities betting websites. With MLB props obtainable for nearly each participant in each recreation at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed laptop mannequin might help you discover worth so as to add to your MLB prop picks. They’ll additionally assist new customers benefit from the best sportsbook promos just like the court game FanDuel promo code, the place new customers can get $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager wins:
The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each MLB recreation 10,000 instances. It entered Week 20 of the 2025 MLB season a worthwhile 28-23 on top-rated MLB money-line picks. It has excelled in making residence run prop picks this season, returning practically 50 models of revenue. Anyone following its MLB picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites may have seen robust returns.
Finest Sunday MLB participant prop picks:
Pete Crow-Armstrong, Cubs, over 0.5 stolen bases (+380)
Step one to stealing a base is getting on, and that is one thing that Crow-Armstrong has struggled with of late. Nonetheless, he does have three batted balls of 100 mph or increased on this sequence and has a median exit velocity of 94.0 mph on 9 batted balls on this sequence. That form of contact will yield inevitable outcomes over time, and Crow-Armstrong does have two stolen bases in seven video games in opposition to the Cardinals to date this 12 months. The mannequin costs Crow-Armstrong to steal a base at +234, giving us numerous upside right here. For the perfect worth, play this prop at DraftKings, the place you may also use the court game DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets and over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Junior Caminero, Rays, over 0.5 residence runs (+430)
Caminero simply turned 22 final month, however he already possesses thunderous energy and is sitting on 32 residence runs after going yard 4 instances in his final three video games. The mannequin appropriately predicted that he’d homer for a +400 payout on Saturday, and now you are someway getting a fair higher worth on Sunday? That is no less than partially because of the Bryan Woo impact, however Woo has given up seven residence runs in his final 4 begins. The mannequin lists Caminero’s line to homer at +266, so it is leaping at this price from Fanatics, and you may also take get 10x $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash with the court game Fanatics Sportsbook promo code:
MacKenzie Gore, Nationals, over 5.5 strikeouts (-114)
It was a little bit of a shock that the Nationals determined to maintain Gore on the MLB Commerce Deadline regardless of being on the outset of one other full-scale rebuild. Nonetheless, they have a couple of thrilling younger items in James Wooden and C.J. Abrams and determined to carry on to Gore with one other 12 months of management. He received roughed up for eight earned runs in his final outing by the Athletics, however has registered no less than six strikeouts in 15 of his 23 begins. The mannequin is predicting he finishes with 6.28 strikeouts on common at this time.
MLB HR, stolen base, strikeouts prop cheat sheet
The SportsLine Model was developed and is powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of the team’s picks and content at our blog, which has all our personal best bets for free. The system is simple. We take the strongest SportsLine Model projected values vs the best available prices at the time we publish our content. In most cases, lines move in ‘our direction’ so you should bookmark the blog, follow us on social, and make it a habit of checking for updates throughout the day to maximize your expected value.
The table below shows today’s projected leading Home Run, Stolen Base and Strikeout Leaders. We include the projection and for HRs and SBs the money line we’d set for YES HR/SB. You can use this cheat sheet to compare it to your book’s line and if your book’s line is significantly higher than ours (and you like the player) then you would want to consider that bet.
We hit on Junior Caminero yesterday at +400 on DraftKings. He has 4 HRs in his last 3 games. Our model doesn’t shy away from streaks and has him priced at +266. As of early am on Sunday he is as low as +350 on Caesars, but as high as +430 on Fanatics.
We whiffed on Michael King’s o5.5 Ks and while we have value on today’s Padres starter, Dylan Cease to come in under his 7.5K line (-120 DraftKings), it’s a little scary to go against his 10-1 over (7.5 average) at home split.
| RANK | HR | SB | K |
| 8/10 | PLAYER | HR PROJ | PROP LINE | PLAYER | SB PROJ | PROP LINE | STARTER | K PROJ |
| 1 | Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.309 | +224 | Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.344 | +191 | Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.61 |
| 2 | Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.308 | +225 | Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.322 | +211 | Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.87 |
| 3 | Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.275 | +264 | Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.312 | +221 | MacKenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.28 |
| 4 | Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.273 | +266 | Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.299 | +234 | Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 6.25 |
| 5 | Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.269 | +272 | Jose Caballero (NYY) | 0.296 | +238 | Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.18 |
| 6 | Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.269 | +272 | Luis Robert (CHW) | 0.289 | +246 | Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.64 |
| 7 | Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.267 | +275 | Bobby Witt (KC) | 0.276 | +262 | Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.38 |
| 8 | Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.252 | +297 | Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.268 | +273 | Cade Povich (BAL) | 5.35 |
| 9 | Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.251 | +298 | Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.245 | +308 | Max Fried (NYY) | 5.27 |
| 10 | Riley Greene (DET) | 0.244 | +310 | CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.241 | +315 | Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.21 |
| 11 | Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.243 | +312 | Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.24 | +317 | Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.17 |
| 12 | Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.235 | +326 | Esteury Ruiz (LAD) | 0.236 | +324 | Eric Lauer (TOR) | 5.15 |
| 13 | Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.233 | +329 | Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.222 | +350 | Jason Alexander (HOU) | 5.09 |
| 14 | Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.228 | +339 | Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.222 | +350 | Casey Mize (DET) | 5.05 |
| 15 | Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.228 | +339 | David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.207 | +383 | Luis Morales (ATH) | 5.01 |
| 16 | Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.226 | +342 | Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.203 | +393 | Joey Wentz (ATL) | 5 |
| 17 | Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.223 | +348 | Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.201 | +398 | Zack Littell (CIN) | 5 |
| 18 | Shea Langeliers (ATH) | 0.223 | +348 | Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.199 | +403 | Patrick Corbin (TEX) | 4.99 |
| 19 | Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.222 | +350 | Jasrado Chisholm (NYY) | 0.199 | +403 | Mike Burrows (PIT) | 4.84 |
| 20 | Bobby Witt (KC) | 0.22 | +355 | Ha-seong Kim (TB) | 0.194 | +415 | Slade Cecconi (CLE) | 4.8 |
More MLB picks for Sunday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB props for several players on Sunday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall, who is on an 87-80-1 roll (+1399) on MLB picks.