The Buffalo Bills enter the 2025 season with Tremendous Bowl expectations, and most sportsbooks have the group close to the highest of their title odds ladders. The Payments have received the AFC East 5 years in a row and are heavy favorites to seize a sixth straight division crown this season however the final objective is to get to the final recreation of the season. Buffalo has been unable to try this, shedding twice within the AFC Championship Recreation and 3 times within the Divisional Spherical over the past 5 seasons.
One large purpose the Payments are anticipated to be contenders is the presence of quarterback Josh Allen, who’s coming off a profitable 2024 season the place he captured his first MVP award. Allen is a robust contender to repeat as MVP at a number of sportsbooks. Head coach Sean McDermott is again as effectively, seeking to win double-digit video games for a seventh straight 12 months.
The Payments did not make vital adjustments to a roster that made it to the AFC Championship Recreation final 12 months earlier than shedding to the rival Chiefs as soon as once more within the postseason. It was Buffalo’s fourth playoff loss to Kansas Metropolis within the final 5 seasons. Joey Bosa replaces Von Miller at edge rusher, whereas Larry Ogunjobi and a number of draft picks replenish the inside of the line of defense. First-round decide Maxwell Hairston replaces Rasul Douglas at cornerback, whereas Josh Palmer and Elijah Moore take the spots of Amari Cooper and Mack Hollins on the receiving corps.
We’re going to try the Payments’ 2024 season and the remainder of their offseason strikes earlier than entering into their observe file in NFL futures over the past 5 years. After that, you could find the percentages accessible at top sportsbooks for his or her 2025 win complete together with Tremendous Bowl and playoff odds in addition to key participant props to know. Lastly, we’ll check out the professionals and cons of betting the Payments in 2025 and provides out our greatest bets.
2024 Buffalo Payments season evaluate
- Common season: 13-4 (AFC East champions)
- Playoffs: Misplaced AFC Championship Recreation at Chiefs 32-29
- Tied most wins in a season in group historical past together with playoffs (15)
- Most common season wins (61) in a five-season span with out Tremendous Bowl journey all-time
- Solely group since 1960 to go total common season and postseason with shedding turnover battle
2025 Buffalo Payments offseason evaluate
| QB | |||
| RB | |||
| WR | Amari Cooper, Mack Hollins | Josh Palmer, Elijah Moore | Kaden Prather (7) |
| TE | Quintin Morris | Jackson Hawes (5) | |
| OL | Will Clapp | Kendrick Green | Chase Lundt (6) |
| DL | Jordan Phillips, Quinton Jefferson, Austin Johnson | Larry Ogunjobi | T.J. Sanders (2), Deone Walker (4) |
| EDGE | Von Miller, Casey Toohill, Dawuane Smoot | Joey Bosa, Michael Hoecht | Landon Jackson (3) |
| LB | Shaq Thompson | ||
| CB | Rasul Douglas, Kaiir Elam | Tre’Davious White, Dane Jackson | Maxwell Hairston (1), Jordan Hancock (5), Dorian Strong (6) |
| S | Darrick Forrest | ||
| STAFF | Matthew Smiley (ST) | Chris Tabor (ST) |
5-year futures odds and traits
| 2024 | +1600 | 10 | Over | 13 | L, AFC Championship |
| 2023 | +900 | 10.5 | Over | 11 | L, Divisional spherical |
| 2022 | +600 | 11.5 | Over | 13 | L, Divisional spherical |
| 2021 | +1100 | 11.5 | Underneath | 11 | L, Divisional spherical |
| 2020 | +3000 | 9 | Over | 13 | L, AFC Championship |
Historic betting information through Professional-Soccer-Reference.
2025 Buffalo Payments futures odds
| Go Over win complete | 11.5 (-175) | 12.5 (+105) | 12.5 (+125) | 11.5 (-165) |
| Go Underneath win complete | 11.5 (+145) | 12.5 (-125) | 12.5 (-150) | 11.5 (+140) |
| Win Tremendous Bowl | +700 | +625 | +650 | +700 |
| Win AFC | +360 | +300 | +350 | +350 |
| Win AFC East | -275 | -330 | -280 | -280 |
| Make playoffs | -750 | -800 | -750 | -850 |
| Miss playoffs | +525 | +550 | +500 | +540 |
| Win No. 1 seed | +275 | +200 | +190 | +250 |
Odds topic to alter.
2025 Josh Allen props
| MVP | +600 | +600 | +550 | +600 |
| Offensive POY | +3500 | +3500 | +4000 | +6000 |
| Most cross yards | +1600 | +1500 | +1500 | |
| Move yards O/U | 3750.5 | 3800.5 | 3750.5 | 3775.5 |
| Move TDs O/U | 27.5 | 26.5 | 27.5 | 27.5 |
| Rush yards O/U | 500.5 | 475.5 | 500.5 | 500.5 |
| Rush TDs O/U | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 |
Odds topic to alter.
Causes to again the Payments
Buffalo grew to become the primary group for the reason that 1990-94 San Francisco 49ers to guide the league in factors per recreation whereas additionally permitting the fewest factors per recreation over a five-year stretch. The Payments, behind Allen’s rise to superstardom, have scored 29.1 factors per recreation over the past half-decade whereas permitting simply 19.6 factors per recreation due to McDermott’s aggressive protection. They’ve snapped a 24-year division title drought by profitable the AFC East 5 years in a row.
The Payments function the reigning MVP at quarterback in Allen and a robust offensive line with expertise taking part in collectively. Their defensive entrance added depth within the offseason and whereas the skill-position expertise could not measure as much as another contenders, Buffalo has had no concern scoring factors in recent times. The Payments even have a comparatively simple schedule that provides them pretty much as good an opportunity as anybody to guide the NFL in wins and end with the No. 1 seed within the AFC.
Causes to fade the Payments
Whereas the long-term information is spectacular, the Payments protection completed exterior of the highest 10 in scoring final 12 months for the primary time since 2020. Hairston has an opportunity to be a difference-maker as a rookie however as a late first-round decide, the percentages are towards him making an enormous affect. Buffalo’s free company strikes previous to the draft could quantity to not more than shuffling comparable gamers round, particularly if Bosa cannot keep wholesome (and it isn’t a very good signal he is already managing a calf harm).
One key detrimental for the Payments is anticipated turnover regression. Buffalo’s eight turnovers have been tied for the fewest of any group within the Tremendous Bowl period, whereas the Payments’ turnover margin was one of the best of any group since 2012. If Allen’s 1.2% interception charge is not sustainable or if the sturdy signal-caller is compelled to overlook time, the offense could discover itself in additional aggressive video games than anticipated.
How you can guess the Payments in 2025
- AFC No. 1 seed +275 (BetMGM)
- Josh Allen Underneath 3775.5 passing yards (FanDuel)
If leaning right into a constructive final result for the Payments, I’d benefit from the scheduling edge they’ve over the opposite high contenders within the AFC and again them to be the No. 1 seed within the convention. We’re giving up some worth by taking part in this market relatively than taking them to win the AFC outright, however I’m keen to take action after they’ve continued to run right into a brick wall when dealing with the Chiefs and Bengals within the postseason.
I additionally like backing Allen to complete Underneath his passing complete with no vital upgrades to his passing-game weapons. We noticed the Payments play extra ball management final 12 months, which led to the offense ending twenty sixth in complete cross makes an attempt whereas Allen had his lowest passing complete since 2019. He didn’t high this line of 3775.5 even with taking part in 17 video games and being named league MVP, so why would the system change for Buffalo? I might be shocked if he acquired close to 4,000 yards with the Payments favored in each recreation even when he is once more in a position to keep wholesome the whole season.